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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x33d069...d826c0 | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 0% (0–1, n=1) | 53% (516–455, n=971) | 48% (596–641, n=1237) | 54% (452–389, n=841) |
| Consensus PnL | -$2.0K | $362K | $561K | $322K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #460 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #267 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 66% (142 of 214 open) | 58% (84 of 144 open) | 55% (110 of 199 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 6% (won 100% of 20) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 36% (won 100% of 128) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 50% (won 100% of 175) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 8% (won 100% of 28) | 20% (won 98% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
62 on the same side, 88 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x33d069...d826c0 | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Pelicans $21K | Nuggets $17K | Nuggets $350 |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Utah | — | Utah $231 | Arizona $21K | Utah $14K |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Canadiens | — | Canadiens $10K | Avalanche $4.6K | Avalanche $11K |
| Spread: Washington (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Michigan State | — | Michigan State $13K | Washington $4.7K | Michigan State $771 |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | South Carolina $6.8K | Arkansas $8.3K | Arkansas $3.0K |
| Wild vs. Bruins opposite sides · consensus Wild | — | Bruins $697 | Wild $15K | Bruins $4 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.4K | Over $11K | Under $151 |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.0K | Over $8.7K | Over $1.6K |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Heat $6.3K | Pistons $5.8K | Heat $749 |
| Oregon State vs. Boise State opposite sides · consensus Boise State | — | Boise State $11K | Boise State $887 | Oregon State $366 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $7.0K | Over $4.2K | Over $590 |
| Spread: Louisville (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus North Carolina | — | North Carolina $2.2K | Louisville $1.3K | North Carolina $7.2K |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Virginia Tech $1.5K | Virginia Tech $4.6K | Stanford $4.3K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $5.4K | Over $4.7K | Under $295 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Bulls $1.2K | Timberwolves $7.6K | Bulls $1.3K |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Stanford $831 | Virginia Tech $6.3K | Virginia Tech $2.8K |
| North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.4K | Over $4.3K | Over $382 |
| Spread: New Mexico (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | New Mexico $736 | New Mexico $6.8K | UNLV $154 |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.1K | Over $3 | Over $1.8K |
| Spread: LSU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas | — | Texas $5.6K | LSU $20 | Texas $244 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $62 | Under $3.9K | Over $401 |
| Panthers vs. Blues opposite sides · consensus Blues | — | Panthers $1.5K | Blues $1.9K | Blues $210 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | Cavaliers $3.4K | Mavericks $4 | Mavericks $218 |
| Islanders vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Islanders | — | Ducks $1.9K | Islanders $199 | Ducks $1.1K |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $524 | Over $881 | Under $1.7K |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i | — | Hawai'i $1.4K | Hawai'i $1.6K | North Dakota State $85 |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $572 | Under $766 | Under $1.2K |
| Oregon State vs. Boise State: O/U 67.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $630 | Over $1.0K | Over $805 |
| Spread: Kentucky (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida | — | Florida $19 | Kentucky $1.1K | Florida $551 |
| UAB Blazers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks opposite sides · consensus Jacksonville State Gamecocks | — | Jacksonville State Gamecocks $21 | UAB Blazers $3 | UAB Blazers $689 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $24K | Grizzlies $216 | Grizzlies $29K |
| Spread: New Mexico (-17.5) same side · consensus New Mexico | — | New Mexico $328 | New Mexico $33K | New Mexico $399 |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $9.2K | Over $15K | Over $521 |
| Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $18K | Over $247 | Over $2.5K |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $5.2K | Heat $5.9K | Heat $8.6K |
| Spread: LSU (-4.5) same side · consensus LSU | — | Texas $1.9K | Texas $17K | Texas $140 |
| Oilers vs. Maple Leafs same side · consensus Oilers | — | Maple Leafs $3.2K | Maple Leafs $5.9K | Maple Leafs $4.9K |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force same side · consensus Air Force | — | Air Force $178 | Air Force $13K | Air Force $157 |
| Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $45 | Under $1.5K | Under $2.9K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.1K | Under $5 | Under $2.3K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.7K | Over $632 | Over $314 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | Nets $9 | Nets $176 | Nets $513 |
| Washington vs. Michigan State opposite sides · consensus Washington | — | Michigan State $24K | — | Washington $86K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | — | Nets $40 | Grizzlies $63K |
| Spread: Blues (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Panthers | — | — | Panthers $35K | Blues $53 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $21K | Over $7.7K |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $23K | — | Mavericks $149 |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | — | Timberwolves $832 | Bulls $15K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $11K | — | Over $4.8K |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | — | Nuggets $13K | Pelicans $2.8K |