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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x33d069...d826c0HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
Record (consensus markets)0% (0–1, n=1)53% (516–455, n=971)48% (596–641, n=1237)81% (22–5, n=27)
Consensus PnL-$2.0K$362K$561K$328K
Tracked asPM monthly #460PM monthly #11PM monthly #18PM monthly #117
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position66% (141 of 214 open)58% (83 of 144 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 3)6% (won 100% of 20)4% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 100% of 70)36% (won 100% of 128)13% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—60% (won 100% of 135)50% (won 100% of 175)21% (won 80% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 16)8% (won 100% of 28)63% (won 100% of 15)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

25 on the same side, 37 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x33d069...d826c0HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $21KNuggets $17K—
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
—Utah $231Arizona $21K—
Spread: Washington (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Michigan State
—Michigan State $13KWashington $4.7K—
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Bruins $697Wild $15K—
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
—South Carolina $6.8KArkansas $8.3K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.4KOver $11K—
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
—Canadiens $10KAvalanche $4.6K—
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.0KOver $8.7K—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Heat $6.3KPistons $5.8K—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $7.0KOver $4.2K—
Devils vs. Capitals
opposite sides · consensus Devils
—Capitals $2.1KDevils $8.5K—
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets
opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets
—Blue Jackets $1.1KFlyers $9.2K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.4KOver $4.7K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $1.2KTimberwolves $7.6K—
Sabres vs. Stars: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $386Under $8.2K—
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa
opposite sides · consensus Tulsa
—Florida Atlantic $1.4KTulsa $6.5K—
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.4KOver $4.3K—
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
—Stanford $831Virginia Tech $6.3K—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6.4KOver $281—
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas
—Texas $5.6KLSU $20—
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines
—Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4KUtah Valley Wolverines $3.7K—
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.1KOver $3—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $62Under $3.9K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $1.7KMavericks $1.7K—
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus North Carolina
—North Carolina $2.2KLouisville $1.3K—
Panthers vs. Blues
opposite sides · consensus Blues
—Panthers $1.5KBlues $1.9K—
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $3.4KMavericks $4—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.3KUnder $933—
Spread: Washington (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Washington
—Michigan State $2Washington $2.2K—
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Ducks $1.9KIslanders $199—
Oregon State vs. Boise State: O/U 67.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $630Over $1.0K—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $572Under $766—
Spread: Louisville (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisville
—North Carolina $798Louisville $430—
Spread: Kentucky (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida
—Florida $19Kentucky $1.1K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $441Under $10—
Minnesota vs. Penn State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $287Over $5—
UAB Blazers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks
opposite sides · consensus Jacksonville State Gamecocks
—Jacksonville State Gamecocks $21UAB Blazers $3—
Spread: New Mexico (-17.5)
same side · consensus New Mexico
—New Mexico $328New Mexico $33K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $24KGrizzlies $216—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9.2KOver $15K—
Spread: LSU (-4.5)
same side · consensus LSU
—Texas $1.9KTexas $17K—
Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $18KOver $247—
San Jose State vs. Air Force
same side · consensus Air Force
—Air Force $178Air Force $13K—
Oregon State vs. Boise State
same side · consensus Boise State
—Boise State $11KBoise State $887—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $5.2KHeat $5.9K—
Spread: Appalachian State (-1.5)
same side · consensus Marshall
—Marshall $5.3KMarshall $3.8K—
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs
same side · consensus Oilers
—Maple Leafs $3.2KMaple Leafs $5.9K—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $793Over $7.7K—
Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
same side · consensus New Mexico
—New Mexico $736New Mexico $6.8K—
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
same side · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $1.5KVirginia Tech $4.6K—