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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99paintscrelThunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)48% (558–608, n=1166)55% (433–356, n=789)0% (0–3, n=3)58% (11–8, n=19)
Consensus PnL$515K$365K-$4.6K$782K
Tracked asPM monthly #18PM monthly #137was PM monthly #954was PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensus61% (82 of 134 open)58% (105 of 182 open)50% (1 of 2 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%—92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 20)13% (won 40% of 81)—8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 100% of 128)24% (won 62% of 144)—58% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 175)43% (won 74% of 261)—33% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 100% of 28)20% (won 98% of 119)—0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

26 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99paintscrelThunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Gen.G $1.1K—Gen.G $3Bilibili Gaming $91K
Washington vs. Michigan State
opposite sides · consensus Washington
Michigan State $3.2KWashington $91K——
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $18KBulls $17K——
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
Panthers $25KBlues $199——
Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $22KUnder $118——
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
Kentucky $8.8KFlorida $7.2K——
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $12KUnder $434——
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
Wild $10KBruins $6——
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
Pelicans $9.0KNuggets $565——
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Stanford
Virginia Tech $4.6KStanford $4.4K——
Will United States win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $60Yes $7.3K——
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $5.7KHeat $782——
Spread: Indiana (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
USC $4.5KIndiana $1.1K——
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
Maple Leafs $5.5KOilers $20——
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flyers
Flyers $4.9KBlue Jackets $348——
UFC 334: Jared Gordon vs. Melquizael Costa (Lightweight, Early Prelims)
opposite sides · consensus Melquizael Costa
Melquizael Costa $3.9KJared Gordon $133——
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
Avalanche $2.4KCanadiens $1.6K——
California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.5KOver $1——
Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.0KYes $34——
Jacksonville State vs. Western Kentucky: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $584Under $2.4K——
Games Total: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $8Over $2.8K——
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison
Kayla Harrison $2.4KAmanda Nunes $376——
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Blues
Blues $2.0KPanthers $622——
Spread: Kentucky (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
Florida $1.0KKentucky $1.0K——
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $881Under $931——
Oregon State vs. Boise State
opposite sides · consensus Oregon State
Boise State $620Oregon State $934——
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $692Over $794——
UFC 334: Stephen Thompson vs. Charles Radtke (Welterweight, Prelims)
opposite sides · consensus Stephen Thompson
Stephen Thompson $574Charles Radtke $291——
Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty
opposite sides · consensus Liberty
Liberty $587Middle Tennessee $7——
Auburn vs. Mississippi State
opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State
Mississippi State $17Auburn $56——
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner
same side · consensus Gen.G
——Gen.G $4.1KGen.G $390K
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $185Grizzlies $31K——
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
same side · consensus Indiana
USC $28KUSC $3——
Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5)
same side · consensus Georgia State
Georgia State $25KGeorgia State $843——
Sabres vs. Stars
same side · consensus Stars
Stars $9.6KStars $15K——
Spread: Air Force (-14.5)
same side · consensus San Jose State
San Jose State $16KSan Jose State $877——
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $15KOver $521——
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
same side · consensus Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech $6.4KVirginia Tech $2.8K——
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $4.7KHeat $3.2K——
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
same side · consensus Arkansas
Arkansas $6.7KArkansas $740——
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Gen.G $6.2K——Gen.G $621
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $5.6KOver $784——
Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.5KUnder $3.5K——
Panthers vs. Blues
same side · consensus Blues
Blues $4.4KBlues $514——
UFC 334: Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims)
same side · consensus Donte Johnson
Cesar Almeida $718Cesar Almeida $3.6K——
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
same side · consensus Nuggets
Pelicans $741Pelicans $3.0K——
UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Uroš Medic
Kevin Holland $1.4KKevin Holland $1.7K——
Spread: Georgia Southern (-6.5)
same side · consensus Georgia State
Georgia State $203Georgia State $1.7K——
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)
same side · consensus USC
Indiana $1.1KIndiana $668——
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Gen.G $990Gen.G $133——