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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| fantasy7788 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | paintscrel | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (16–15, n=31) | 48% (558–608, n=1166) | 55% (433–356, n=789) | 0% (0–3, n=3) |
| Consensus PnL | $795K | $515K | $365K | -$4.6K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #39 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #137 | was PM monthly #954 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 2 open) | 60% (81 of 135 open) | 57% (105 of 184 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53% | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 100% of 1) | 6% (won 100% of 20) | 13% (won 40% of 81) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 53% (won 100% of 9) | 36% (won 100% of 128) | 24% (won 62% of 144) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 6) | 50% (won 100% of 175) | 43% (won 74% of 261) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 100% of 1) | 8% (won 100% of 28) | 20% (won 98% of 119) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
26 on the same side, 32 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | fantasy7788 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | paintscrel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner opposite sides · consensus Gen.G | Bilibili Gaming $8.7K | Bilibili Gaming $174 | — | Gen.G $3.9K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Gen.G | Bilibili Gaming $92K | — | Gen.G $544 | — |
| Washington vs. Michigan State opposite sides · consensus Washington | — | Michigan State $4.3K | Washington $86K | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Timberwolves $18K | Bulls $17K | — |
| Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $22K | Under $118 | — |
| Spread: Blues (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Panthers | — | Panthers $19K | Blues $199 | — |
| Florida vs. Kentucky opposite sides · consensus Kentucky | — | Kentucky $8.8K | Florida $7.2K | — |
| UFC 334: Macy Chiasson vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Early Prelims) opposite sides · consensus Bia Mesquita | — | Bia Mesquita $13K | Macy Chiasson $138 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $12K | Under $434 | — |
| Wild vs. Bruins opposite sides · consensus Wild | — | Wild $10K | Bruins $6 | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Pelicans $9.0K | Nuggets $565 | — |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Stanford | — | Virginia Tech $4.6K | Stanford $4.4K | — |
| Will United States win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $60 | Yes $7.3K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $5.7K | Heat $782 | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | — | USC $4.5K | Indiana $1.1K | — |
| Oilers vs. Maple Leafs opposite sides · consensus Oilers | — | Maple Leafs $5.5K | Oilers $20 | — |
| Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Flyers | — | Flyers $4.9K | Blue Jackets $348 | — |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Canadiens | — | Avalanche $2.4K | Canadiens $1.6K | — |
| UFC 334: Jared Gordon vs. Melquizael Costa (Lightweight, Early Prelims) opposite sides · consensus Melquizael Costa | — | Melquizael Costa $3.8K | Jared Gordon $133 | — |
| California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.5K | Over $1 | — |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.0K | Yes $34 | — |
| Jacksonville State vs. Western Kentucky: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $584 | Under $2.4K | — |
| Games Total: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $8 | Over $2.8K | — |
| UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison | — | Kayla Harrison $2.4K | Amanda Nunes $376 | — |
| Spread: Panthers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Blues | — | Blues $2.0K | Panthers $622 | — |
| Spread: Kentucky (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Kentucky | — | Florida $1.1K | Kentucky $893 | — |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $881 | Under $931 | — |
| Oregon State vs. Boise State opposite sides · consensus Oregon State | — | Boise State $620 | Oregon State $934 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $692 | Over $794 | — |
| UFC 334: Stephen Thompson vs. Charles Radtke (Welterweight, Prelims) opposite sides · consensus Stephen Thompson | — | Stephen Thompson $574 | Charles Radtke $291 | — |
| Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty opposite sides · consensus Liberty | — | Liberty $587 | Middle Tennessee $7 | — |
| Auburn vs. Mississippi State opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State | — | Mississippi State $17 | Auburn $56 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $185 | Grizzlies $31K | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) same side · consensus Indiana | — | USC $28K | USC $3 | — |
| Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5) same side · consensus Georgia State | — | Georgia State $25K | Georgia State $843 | — |
| Sabres vs. Stars same side · consensus Stars | — | Stars $9.6K | Stars $15K | — |
| Spread: Air Force (-14.5) same side · consensus San Jose State | — | San Jose State $16K | San Jose State $877 | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $15K | Over $521 | — |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech same side · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Virginia Tech $6.4K | Virginia Tech $2.8K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $4.7K | Heat $3.2K | — |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) same side · consensus Arkansas | — | Arkansas $6.7K | Arkansas $740 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $5.6K | Over $784 | — |
| Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | Under $3.5K | — |
| Panthers vs. Blues same side · consensus Blues | — | Blues $4.4K | Blues $514 | — |
| UFC 334: Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims) same side · consensus Donte Johnson | — | Cesar Almeida $718 | Cesar Almeida $3.6K | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Nuggets | — | Pelicans $741 | Pelicans $3.0K | — |
| UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card) same side · consensus Uroš Medic | — | Kevin Holland $1.4K | Kevin Holland $1.7K | — |
| Spread: Georgia Southern (-6.5) same side · consensus Georgia State | — | Georgia State $203 | Georgia State $1.7K | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-7.5) same side · consensus USC | — | Indiana $1.1K | Indiana $668 | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | Gen.G $1.1K | — | Gen.G $3 |