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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | wata33-ts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (12–11, n=23) | 54% (371–318, n=689) | 54% (345–290, n=635) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $567K | $398K | $403K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #37 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #825 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 69% (117 of 170 open) | 55% (64 of 117 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54% | 100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 100% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 14% (won 33% of 73) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 54% (won 100% of 7) | 32% (won 100% of 62) | 24% (won 56% of 125) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 31% (won 100% of 4) | 59% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 69% of 226) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 100% of 1) | 8% (won 100% of 15) | 18% (won 98% of 96) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
34 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | wata33-ts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Rockets (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $25K | Rockets $191 | — |
| Spread: Houston (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Houston | — | Colorado $2.8K | Houston $9.3K | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $6.0K | Over $1.2K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $4.4K | Under $1.1K | — |
| Houston vs. Colorado: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $5.5K | Over $30 | — |
| Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.2K | Under $2.4K | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $2.4K | Kings $1.7K | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Thunder $3.6K | Clippers $12 | — |
| Predators vs. Golden Knights opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights | — | Predators $3.6K | Golden Knights $79 | — |
| Rangers vs. Canucks opposite sides · consensus Rangers | — | Rangers $3.5K | Canucks $29 | — |
| Spread: James Madison (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus UConn | — | UConn $2.1K | James Madison $1.3K | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.9K | Over $54 | — |
| Spread: Alabama (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt | — | Alabama $1.6K | Vanderbilt $967 | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | — | Indiana $2.5K | USC $2 | — |
| Spread: UCLA (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus UCLA | — | Illinois $434 | UCLA $1.5K | — |
| California-San Diego Tritons vs. Utah State Aggies opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies | — | Utah State Aggies $791 | California-San Diego Tritons $52 | — |
| Spread: Auburn (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Auburn | — | Mississippi State $393 | Auburn $373 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | Warriors $1 | Spurs $259 | — |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $23 | Under $200 | — |
| Alabama vs. Vanderbilt opposite sides · consensus Alabama | — | Alabama $62 | Vanderbilt $13 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | Thunder $22K | Thunder $6.5K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $25K | Spurs $2.1K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-10.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $16K | Spurs $661 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $5.5K | Spurs $9.6K | — |
| Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $12K | Over $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | Thunder $12K | Thunder $52 | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $3.2K | Spurs $8.3K | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $1.7K | Clippers $8.9K | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $8.7K | Under $1.8K | — |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $9.8K | Under $116 | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-7.5) same side · consensus Indiana | — | Indiana $6.4K | Indiana $911 | — |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Texans | — | Browns $2.4K | Browns $1.2K | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3.2K | Over $57 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5) same side · consensus Kings | — | Kings $499 | Kings $2.4K | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-16.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $2.7K | Jazz $51 | — |
| Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5) same side · consensus Sam Houston | — | Kennesaw State $2.2K | Kennesaw State $580 | — |
| Spread: Alabama (-16.5) same side · consensus Vanderbilt | — | Vanderbilt $2.1K | Vanderbilt $542 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | — | Jaguars $1.1K | Jaguars $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $376 | Trail Blazers $1.6K | — |
| Illinois vs. UCLA same side · consensus UCLA | — | UCLA $1.1K | UCLA $775 | — |
| Houston vs. Colorado: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $62 | Over $1.8K | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | Under $1 | — |
| Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $810 | Over $344 | — |
| Houston vs. Colorado same side · consensus Houston | — | Colorado $101 | Colorado $1.0K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $1.1K | Colts $3 | — |
| Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $6 | Over $861 | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas same side · consensus South Carolina | — | South Carolina $265 | South Carolina $546 | — |
| Spread: Houston (-8.5) same side · consensus Houston | — | Houston $483 | Houston $210 | — |
| Spread: BYU (-7.5) same side · consensus Baylor | — | BYU $291 | BYU $348 | — |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $499 | Under $73 | — |