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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighTsamam
Record (consensus markets)52% (16–15, n=31)71% (2619–1078, n=3697)48% (600–648, n=1248)50% (1–1, n=2)
Consensus PnL$795K$482K$512K$4.9K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #11PM monthly #18PM monthly #811
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position54% (131 of 244 open)53% (64 of 121 open)38% (3 of 8 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%—
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 5% of 409)6% (won 100% of 20)—
Entries 30–50¢53% (won 100% of 9)22% (won 41% of 222)36% (won 100% of 128)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 6)11% (won 64% of 115)50% (won 100% of 175)—
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 94% of 271)8% (won 100% of 28)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

32 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighTsamam
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $233Cavaliers $133K—
Spread: Senators (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penguins
—Senators $136Penguins $32K—
Devils vs. Capitals
opposite sides · consensus Devils
—Capitals $75Devils $16K—
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $155Mavericks $11K—
Sabres vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
—Sabres $206Stars $9.3K—
UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Bilal Hasan
—Luis Gurule $90Bilal Hasan $7.9K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $4.5KTimberwolves $3.1K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $566Nets $6.0K—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Heat $434Pistons $5.2K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $350Nets $3.4K—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
—Arkansas $1.1KSouth Carolina $1.7K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $412Nets $1.5K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $549Mavericks $781—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $404Under $581—
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $54Nets $731—
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $686Mavericks $2—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $649Over $2—
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $385Cavaliers $143—
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Maple Leafs
—Maple Leafs $205Oilers $204—
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $385Timberwolves $11—
UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 160.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2Over $308—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $5Nets $166—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $132Over $7—
Senators vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $93Over $8—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $5Under $3—
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $876Bulls $63K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $3.3KOver $26K—
Utah vs. Arizona
same side · consensus Utah
—Arizona $23Arizona $21K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $6.9KTimberwolves $14K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $2.0KOver $12K—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.0KOver $8.7K—
Senators vs. Penguins
same side · consensus Senators
—Penguins $94Penguins $11K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $627Heat $7.5K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $835Over $5.6K—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.6KOver $413—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $5.8KCavaliers $106—
Spread: Devils (-1.5)
same side · consensus Capitals
—Capitals $43Capitals $3.3K—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.7KOver $233—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 233.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.8KOver $185—
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $882Grizzlies $291—
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $325Mavericks $448—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $737Under $7—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 245.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $221Under $402—
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)
same side · consensus Avalanche
—Avalanche $4Avalanche $612—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $608Over $6—
Spread: Grizzlies (-10.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $441Nets $62—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $497Over $5—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $393Heat $9—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $239Under $11—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 239.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $171Under $36—