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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| djstellen | Flaznorp | nigiri99 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 71% (2619–1078, n=3697) | 54% (455–392, n=847) | 58% (11–8, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $482K | $324K | $769K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #710 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #287 | was PM monthly #70 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 55% (148 of 270 open) | 55% (98 of 177 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% | 92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 13% (won 40% of 81) | 8% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 24% (won 62% of 144) | 58% (won 100% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 43% (won 74% of 261) | 33% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 20% (won 98% of 119) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
32 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | djstellen | Flaznorp | nigiri99 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabres vs. Stars opposite sides · consensus Stars | — | Sabres $426 | Stars $96K | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Timberwolves $6.7K | Bulls $31K | — |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Utah | — | Arizona $23 | Utah $14K | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $13K | Mavericks $48 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $2.4K | Nets $10K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Pelicans $11K | Nuggets $504 | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $1.0K | Heat $10K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $576 | Nets $5.8K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $1.4K | Nets $4.9K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $3.3K | Under $1.7K | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $31 | Over $2.4K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $2.1K | Under $63 | — |
| Red Wings vs. Lightning opposite sides · consensus Lightning | — | Red Wings $154 | Lightning $1.9K | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | Over $154 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $931 | Under $290 | — |
| Wild vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $685 | Under $330 | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $914 | Mavericks $78 | — |
| Spread: Nets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $129 | Nets $669 | — |
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | — | Ole Miss $260 | Oklahoma $507 | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | Cavaliers $686 | Mavericks $63 | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Pelicans $384 | Nuggets $336 | — |
| Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $255 | Over $424 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $350 | Nets $80 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $5 | Nets $412 | — |
| Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $112 | Over $186 | — |
| Spread: Oilers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Maple Leafs | — | Maple Leafs $205 | Oilers $89 | — |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $54 | Over $53 | — |
| Spread: Sharks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Sharks | — | Utah $89 | Sharks $12 | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5) same side · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $835 | Bulls $197K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $872 | Grizzlies $33K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $293 | Heat $11K | — |
| Florida vs. Kentucky same side · consensus Florida | — | Florida $2.9K | Florida $6.8K | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $221 | Over $7.1K | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | Bulls $4.5K | Bulls $1.4K | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | Under $3.4K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-7.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | — | Nuggets $4.5K | Nuggets $117 | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Oklahoma State | — | Texas Tech $384 | Texas Tech $2.9K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $814 | Under $2.2K | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas same side · consensus South Carolina | — | Arkansas $1.1K | Arkansas $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-4.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | — | Mavericks $2.2K | Mavericks $32 | — |
| Senators vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $93 | Under $2.1K | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5) same side · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $1.7K | Bulls $288 | — |
| Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) same side · consensus Canadiens | — | Avalanche $52 | Avalanche $1.8K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-8.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | — | Nuggets $1.7K | Nuggets $10 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $192 | Under $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | — | Heat $434 | Heat $915 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $25 | Under $1.2K | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-16.5) same side · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $1.2K | Bulls $37 | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-17.5) same side · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $457 | Bulls $373 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $393 | Heat $363 | — |