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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| djstellen | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 71% (2619–1078, n=3697) | 53% (516–456, n=972) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $482K | $362K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #710 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 55% (149 of 269 open) | 62% (115 of 185 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 31% (won 100% of 70) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 60% (won 100% of 135) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 7% (won 100% of 16) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
36 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | djstellen | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.9K | Under $32K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Mavericks $80 | Cavaliers $15K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $2.6K | Nets $9.1K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $3.2K | Under $8.2K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Mavericks $228 | Cavaliers $11K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | Mavericks $90 | Cavaliers $9.4K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $2.5K | Under $4.6K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Nuggets $190 | Pelicans $5.4K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $405 | Under $5.1K |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | Over $2.5K |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $56 | Under $2.0K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $88 | Over $1.2K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Pelicans $278 | Nuggets $586 |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $239 | Over $405 |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $54 | Under $549 |
| Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $6 | Under $591 |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $393 | Pistons $199 |
| Spread: Little Rock Trojans (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Northwestern State Demons | — | Little Rock Trojans $4 | Northwestern State Demons $526 |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $29 | Over $445 |
| UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 159.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $11 | Under $452 |
| Spread: Lightning (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Red Wings | — | Red Wings $77 | Lightning $218 |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Utah | — | Arizona $23 | Utah $231 |
| UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 160.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2 | Over $241 |
| Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies | — | Montana Grizzlies $21 | North Dakota Fighting Hawks $219 |
| Wild vs. Bruins opposite sides · consensus Wild | — | Wild $16 | Bruins $70 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $54 | Nets $15 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $21 | Under $25 |
| Spread: Pistons (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Heat $4 | Pistons $9 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $5 | Nets $8 |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers same side · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $9.8K | Cavaliers $41K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $950 | Grizzlies $25K |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens same side · consensus Canadiens | — | Canadiens $134 | Canadiens $14K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $31 | Under $13K |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $137 | Under $11K |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $2.0K | Cavaliers $8.3K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $893 | Cavaliers $8.1K |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | — | Heat $434 | Heat $7.4K |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $259 | Under $7.4K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-3.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | — | Cavaliers $565 | Cavaliers $6.7K |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | — | Cavaliers $644 | Cavaliers $6.2K |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $296 | Vikings $6.5K |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $293 | Heat $6.0K |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | Bulls $4.2K | Bulls $2.0K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.1K | Under $4.4K |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $208 | Over $4.7K |
| Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $139 | Under $4.2K |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3.1K | Over $1.2K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $238 | Under $2.9K |
| Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $235 | Under $2.8K |
| Red Wings vs. Lightning same side · consensus Lightning | — | Red Wings $154 | Red Wings $2.3K |