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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| djstellen | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 71% (2619–1078, n=3697) | 53% (516–456, n=972) | 54% (455–392, n=847) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $482K | $362K | $324K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #710 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #287 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 55% (149 of 271 open) | 63% (114 of 182 open) | 56% (98 of 176 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 20% (won 98% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
75 on the same side, 77 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | djstellen | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $12K | Cavaliers $48K | Mavericks $48 |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Timberwolves $6.2K | Bulls $9.1K | Bulls $31K |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Avalanche | — | Canadiens $36 | Canadiens $14K | Avalanche $9.9K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $2.4K | Nets $9.1K | Nets $10K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $31 | Under $14K | Over $2.4K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | Mavericks $2.2K | Cavaliers $13K | Mavericks $32 |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Utah | — | Arizona $23 | Utah $231 | Utah $14K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $3.3K | Under $8.4K | Under $1.7K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $975 | Cavaliers $8.1K | Mavericks $78 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | Cavaliers $686 | Cavaliers $6.7K | Mavericks $63 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $2.0K | Under $4.6K | Under $63 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $876 | Under $5.1K | Under $290 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Nuggets $19 | Pelicans $5.4K | Nuggets $588 |
| Red Wings vs. Lightning opposite sides · consensus Lightning | — | Red Wings $154 | Red Wings $2.3K | Lightning $1.9K |
| Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $262 | Under $2.8K | Over $424 |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $393 | Pistons $199 | Heat $363 |
| Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1 | Under $591 | Over $126 |
| Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies | — | Montana Grizzlies $21 | North Dakota Fighting Hawks $219 | Montana Grizzlies $216 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $5 | Nets $8 | Nets $412 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $882 | Grizzlies $25K | Grizzlies $33K |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $293 | Heat $6.0K | Heat $11K |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $221 | Over $4.7K | Over $7.1K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | Under $4.9K | Under $3.4K |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | — | Heat $434 | Heat $7.4K | Heat $915 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | Bulls $4.5K | Bulls $2.0K | Bulls $1.4K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $234 | Under $910 | Under $1.3K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $35 | Under $366 | Under $1.2K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $49 | Colts $1.1K | Colts $3 |
| Sabres vs. Stars opposite sides · consensus Stars | — | Sabres $416 | — | Stars $96K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | — | Pelicans $18K | Nuggets $504 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Mavericks $74 | Cavaliers $15K | — |
| Oregon State vs. Boise State opposite sides · consensus Boise State | — | — | Boise State $11K | Oregon State $999 |
| Pistons vs. Heat opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $1.0K | — | Heat $10K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Mavericks $35 | Cavaliers $11K | — |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.7K | Over $6.2K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | Mavericks $90 | Cavaliers $9.4K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | — | Pistons $4.0K | Heat $5.2K |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 57.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $5.7K | Under $2.9K |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | — | South Carolina $3.8K | Arkansas $4.1K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $566 | — | Nets $5.8K |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $4.2K | Over $1.9K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $4.4K | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | — | Virginia Tech $1.0K | Stanford $4.3K |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.6K | Over $1.6K |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | — | Stanford $3.9K | Virginia Tech $1.3K |
| Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $867 | Under $4.2K |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $4.4K | Under $361 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | Pelicans $621 | Nuggets $4.1K | — |
| Spread: Wyoming (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus UTEP | — | — | UTEP $1.8K | Wyoming $2.7K |
| North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.4K | Over $942 |