Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
bbcvvcbvkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)86% (18–3, n=21)48% (558–608, n=1166)55% (433–356, n=789)58% (11–8, n=19)
Consensus PnL$23K$515K$365K$782K
Tracked asPM monthly #854PM monthly #18PM monthly #137was PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)61% (81 of 133 open)58% (105 of 182 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 100% of 20)13% (won 40% of 81)8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 100% of 128)24% (won 62% of 144)58% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 175)43% (won 74% of 261)33% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up—8% (won 100% of 28)20% (won 98% of 119)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

26 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbbcvvcbvkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Washington vs. Michigan State
opposite sides · consensus Washington
—Michigan State $3.2KWashington $91K—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Gen.G $1.1K—Bilibili Gaming $91K
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $18KBulls $17K—
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Panthers $25KBlues $199—
Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $22KUnder $118—
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
—Kentucky $8.8KFlorida $7.2K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $12KUnder $434—
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Wild $10KBruins $6—
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $9.0KNuggets $565—
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Stanford
—Virginia Tech $4.6KStanford $4.4K—
Will United States win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $60Yes $7.3K—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $5.7KHeat $782—
Spread: Indiana (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—USC $4.5KIndiana $1.1K—
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
—Maple Leafs $5.5KOilers $20—
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flyers
—Flyers $4.9KBlue Jackets $348—
UFC 334: Jared Gordon vs. Melquizael Costa (Lightweight, Early Prelims)
opposite sides · consensus Melquizael Costa
—Melquizael Costa $3.9KJared Gordon $133—
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
—Avalanche $2.4KCanadiens $1.6K—
California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.5KOver $1—
Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.0KYes $34—
Jacksonville State vs. Western Kentucky: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $584Under $2.4K—
Games Total: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $8Over $2.8K—
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison
—Kayla Harrison $2.4KAmanda Nunes $376—
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Blues
—Blues $2.0KPanthers $622—
Spread: Kentucky (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
—Florida $1.1KKentucky $936—
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $881Under $931—
Oregon State vs. Boise State
opposite sides · consensus Oregon State
—Boise State $620Oregon State $934—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $692Over $794—
UFC 334: Stephen Thompson vs. Charles Radtke (Welterweight, Prelims)
opposite sides · consensus Stephen Thompson
—Stephen Thompson $574Charles Radtke $291—
Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty
opposite sides · consensus Liberty
—Liberty $587Middle Tennessee $7—
Auburn vs. Mississippi State
opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State
—Mississippi State $17Auburn $56—
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $185Grizzlies $31K—
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
same side · consensus Indiana
—USC $28KUSC $3—
Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5)
same side · consensus Georgia State
—Georgia State $25KGeorgia State $843—
Sabres vs. Stars
same side · consensus Stars
—Stars $9.6KStars $15K—
Spread: Air Force (-14.5)
same side · consensus San Jose State
—San Jose State $16KSan Jose State $877—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $15KOver $521—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Gen.G
Gen.G $9.2K—Gen.G $544—
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
same side · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $6.4KVirginia Tech $2.8K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $4.7KHeat $3.2K—
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
same side · consensus Arkansas
—Arkansas $6.7KArkansas $740—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Gen.G $6.2K—Gen.G $621
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.6KOver $784—
Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.5KUnder $3.5K—
Panthers vs. Blues
same side · consensus Blues
—Blues $4.4KBlues $514—
UFC 334: Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims)
same side · consensus Donte Johnson
—Cesar Almeida $718Cesar Almeida $3.6K—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $741Pelicans $3.0K—
UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Uroš Medic
—Kevin Holland $1.4KKevin Holland $1.7K—
Spread: Georgia Southern (-6.5)
same side · consensus Georgia State
—Georgia State $203Georgia State $1.7K—
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)
same side · consensus USC
—Indiana $1.1KIndiana $668—
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Gen.G $990Gen.G $133—