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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
asdkd938e9ddjdfantasy7788FlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (12–11, n=23)72% (1945–745, n=2690)54% (371–318, n=689)
Consensus PnL—$567K$410K$398K
Tracked asPM monthly #913PM monthly #37PM monthly #14PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position55% (128 of 232 open)70% (121 of 174 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Soccer ±0 pts, n=381—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54%44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 6% of 362)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—54% (won 100% of 7)21% (won 43% of 192)32% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢—31% (won 100% of 4)11% (won 64% of 103)59% (won 100% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up—8% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 95% of 239)8% (won 100% of 15)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

31 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketasdkd938e9ddjdfantasy7788FlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $1.3KThunder $12K
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.3KUnder $2.5K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $94Over $3.2K
Rangers vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $71Over $3.2K
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats
——Auburn Tigers $869Arizona Wildcats $1.3K
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
——Thunder $358Clippers $1.7K
Lindenwood Lions vs. Omaha Mavericks: O/U 154.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $5Under $1.5K
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats
——Auburn Tigers $697Arizona Wildcats $156
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $447Over $391
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $602Over $71
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $5Under $499
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
——Kings $118Trail Blazers $376
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies
——Utah State Aggies $130California-San Diego Tritons $336
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $424Under $4
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
——Thunder $309Clippers $40
UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels
opposite sides · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels
——Saint Mary's Gaels $328UIC Flames $3
Stanford Cardinal vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels
opposite sides · consensus UNLV Runnin' Rebels
——UNLV Runnin' Rebels $214Stanford Cardinal $2
Spread: Rockets (-18.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
——Rockets $183Jazz $9
Spread: Arizona State Sun Devils (-31.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
——Arizona State Sun Devils $57Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks $95
DePaul Blue Demons vs. Northwestern Wildcats: O/U 140.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $9Under $113
Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
——Kings $5Trail Blazers $79
Ball State Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 150.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $4
Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 157.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $14Over $12
Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 158.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $20Over $3
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $4.5KJazz $25K
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $1.0KSpurs $25K
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $1.2KSpurs $16K
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $602Spurs $14K
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $4.0KOver $9.9K
Spread: Rockets (-17.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $1.9KJazz $8.7K
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.5KUnder $9.0K
Warriors vs. Spurs
same side · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $7.0KSpurs $3.2K
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $802Under $6.1K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
——Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $560Spurs $5.5K
Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers
same side · consensus Arizona Wildcats
——Arizona Wildcats $5.0KArizona Wildcats $429
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $2.4KOver $2.6K
Rangers vs. Canucks
same side · consensus Rangers
——Rangers $1.5KRangers $3.5K
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $1.8KJazz $2.7K
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Thunder $426Thunder $3.6K
Predators vs. Golden Knights
same side · consensus Golden Knights
——Predators $333Predators $3.6K
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 156.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $230Under $2.0K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
——Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
——Falcons $169Falcons $1.2K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
——Colts $49Colts $1.1K
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $761Over $267
Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Kings
——Kings $405Kings $44
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $220Clippers $211
Spread: San Diego Toreros (-14.5)
same side · consensus Chicago State Cougars
——Chicago State Cougars $2Chicago State Cougars $382
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-15.5)
same side · consensus Seton Hall Pirates
——Alabama Crimson Tide $204Alabama Crimson Tide $114