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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
asdkd938e9ddjdFlaznorpHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market72% (1945–745, n=2690)54% (371–318, n=689)54% (345–290, n=635)
Consensus PnL—$410K$398K$403K
Tracked asPM monthly #913PM monthly #14PM monthly #8PM monthly #105
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position55% (130 of 237 open)69% (118 of 171 open)55% (66 of 121 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 6% of 362)1% (won 100% of 2)14% (won 33% of 73)
Entries 30–50¢—21% (won 43% of 192)32% (won 100% of 62)24% (won 56% of 125)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 103)59% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 69% of 226)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 95% of 239)8% (won 100% of 15)18% (won 98% of 96)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

52 on the same side, 56 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketasdkd938e9ddjdFlaznorpHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $4.6KJazz $25KRockets $191
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $1.1KThunder $12KThunder $54
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $505Under $9.8KUnder $116
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $793Under $6.1KOver $1.2K
Rangers vs. Canucks
opposite sides · consensus Rangers
—Rangers $1.5KRangers $3.5KCanucks $29
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $531Thunder $3.6KClippers $12
Predators vs. Golden Knights
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
—Predators $333Predators $3.6KGolden Knights $79
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $94Over $3.2KOver $57
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $101Trail Blazers $376Trail Blazers $1.6K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.2KOver $71Over $305
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $5Under $499Under $78
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Warriors $17Warriors $1Spurs $259
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $1.1KSpurs $25KSpurs $2.1K
Warriors vs. Spurs
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $8.2KSpurs $3.2KSpurs $8.3K
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $1.2KSpurs $16KSpurs $663
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $560Spurs $5.5KSpurs $9.6K
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.5KUnder $8.7KUnder $1.8K
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $515Clippers $1.7KClippers $8.4K
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $1.8KJazz $2.7KJazz $51
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1KColts $3
Houston vs. Colorado
same side · consensus Houston
—Colorado $20Colorado $101Colorado $1.0K
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
——Colorado $2.8KHouston $8.7K
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $4.4KUnder $1.1K
Houston vs. Colorado: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $5.5KOver $30
Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.2KUnder $2.4K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
——Trail Blazers $2.4KKings $2.1K
Spread: James Madison (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UConn
——UConn $2.1KJames Madison $1.3K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $133—Over $3.2K
Rangers vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $71Over $3.2K—
Will Guatemala vs. Canada end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.9KOver $54
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern
—Georgia State $6—Georgia Southern $2.7K
Spread: Alabama (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt
——Alabama $1.6KVanderbilt $967
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
——Indiana $2.5KUSC $2
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats
—Auburn Tigers $889Arizona Wildcats $1.3K—
Spread: UCLA (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus UCLA
——Illinois $434UCLA $1.5K
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $460—Yes $1.3K
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $366
Lindenwood Lions vs. Omaha Mavericks: O/U 154.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $5Under $1.5K—
Guatemala vs. Canada: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $69—Over $1.3K
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats
—Auburn Tigers $732Arizona Wildcats $156—
California-San Diego Tritons vs. Utah State Aggies
opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies
——Utah State Aggies $791California-San Diego Tritons $52
Spread: Trail Blazers (-22.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Trail Blazers $180—Kings $627
Spread: Auburn (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Auburn
——Mississippi State $393Auburn $373
Stanford Cardinal vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels
opposite sides · consensus UNLV Runnin' Rebels
—UNLV Runnin' Rebels $764Stanford Cardinal $2—
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $290—Yes $362
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies
—Utah State Aggies $130California-San Diego Tritons $336—
Spread: Kings (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $53—Trail Blazers $395
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $388Clippers $40—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $211—Over $182