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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| appleperson | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 54% (371–318, n=689) | 48% (446–481, n=927) | 54% (345–290, n=635) |
| Consensus PnL | $89 | $398K | $521K | $403K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #992 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #105 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 70% (117 of 168 open) | 52% (40 of 77 open) | 54% (63 of 116 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2 at avg 68¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44% | 66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 6% (won 100% of 19) | 14% (won 33% of 73) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 62) | 37% (won 100% of 110) | 24% (won 56% of 125) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 59% (won 100% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 150) | 43% (won 69% of 226) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 8% (won 100% of 15) | 7% (won 100% of 22) | 18% (won 98% of 96) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
41 on the same side, 35 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | appleperson | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers vs. Canucks opposite sides · consensus Rangers | — | Rangers $3.5K | Rangers $39K | Canucks $29 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Kings $499 | Trail Blazers $31K | Kings $2.4K |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $9.8K | Over $20K | Under $116 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $376 | Kings $22K | Trail Blazers $1.6K |
| Spread: UCLA (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus UCLA | — | Illinois $434 | UCLA $21K | UCLA $1.5K |
| Predators vs. Golden Knights opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights | — | Predators $3.6K | Golden Knights $11K | Golden Knights $79 |
| Spread: Houston (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Houston | — | Colorado $2.8K | Colorado $699 | Houston $9.6K |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Thunder $12K | Clippers $351 | Thunder $49 |
| Warriors vs. Spurs opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $3.2K | Warriors $241 | Spurs $8.3K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $6.0K | Over $2 | Over $1.2K |
| Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $810 | Under $847 | Over $344 |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | Over $3 | Under $1 |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $8.7K | Under $51K | Under $1.8K |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $25K | Spurs $24K | Spurs $2.1K |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $5.5K | Spurs $746 | Spurs $9.6K |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $1.7K | Clippers $967 | Clippers $8.9K |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $71 | Over $5.4K | Over $305 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3.2K | Over $18 | Over $57 |
| Spread: Rockets (-16.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $2.7K | Jazz $10 | Jazz $51 |
| Spread: Rockets (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $25K | — | Rockets $191 |
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $15K | Warriors $2 | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $4.4K | — | Under $1.1K |
| Houston vs. Colorado: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $5.5K | — | Over $30 |
| Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.2K | — | Under $2.4K |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $2.4K | — | Kings $2.1K |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Thunder $3.6K | — | Clippers $12 |
| Spread: James Madison (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus UConn | — | UConn $2.1K | — | James Madison $1.3K |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $4 | Over $3.2K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.9K | — | Over $54 |
| Spread: Alabama (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt | — | Alabama $1.6K | — | Vanderbilt $967 |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | — | Indiana $2.5K | — | USC $2 |
| Spread: Rockets (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Rockets $12 | Jazz $1.0K | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $391 | Under $542 | — |
| California-San Diego Tritons vs. Utah State Aggies opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies | — | Utah State Aggies $791 | — | California-San Diego Tritons $52 |
| Spread: Auburn (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Auburn | — | Mississippi State $393 | — | Auburn $373 |
| Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats | — | Arizona Wildcats $429 | Auburn Tigers $20 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Rockets | — | — | Jazz $372 | Rockets $24 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Kings $119 | Trail Blazers $214 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | Warriors $1 | — | Spurs $259 |
| Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Maryland Terrapins | — | Maryland Terrapins $42 | Virginia Cavaliers $190 | — |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $23 | — | Under $200 |
| Alabama vs. Vanderbilt opposite sides · consensus Alabama | — | Alabama $62 | — | Vanderbilt $13 |
| Spread: Rangers (-1.5) same side · consensus Canucks | — | — | Rangers $35K | Rangers $1.2K |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | Thunder $22K | — | Thunder $6.5K |
| Spread: Spurs (-10.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $16K | — | Spurs $657 |
| Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $12K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Spread: Rockets (-17.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $8.7K | Jazz $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-7.5) same side · consensus Indiana | — | Indiana $6.4K | — | Indiana $911 |
| Spread: UCLA (-7.5) same side · consensus UCLA | — | UCLA $620 | UCLA $3.5K | — |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Texans | — | Browns $2.4K | — | Browns $1.2K |