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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| appleperson | Flaznorp | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 72% (1945–745, n=2690) | 50% (6–6, n=12) | 54% (371–318, n=689) |
| Consensus PnL | $89 | $410K | $423K | $398K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #992 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #20 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 55% (128 of 232 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 70% (121 of 174 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=381 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2 at avg 68¢, ROI +36% | 44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1% | 100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 40% (won 6% of 362) | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 21% (won 43% of 192) | 17% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 11% (won 64% of 103) | 83% (won 100% of 5) | 59% (won 100% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 27% (won 95% of 239) | 0% | 8% (won 100% of 15) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
30 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | appleperson | Flaznorp | googleplay | HomeRunHazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Rockets (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $4.5K | Rockets $50K | Jazz $25K |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $1.3K | — | Thunder $12K |
| Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | — | Under $2.5K |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $94 | — | Over $3.2K |
| Rangers vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $71 | — | Over $3.2K |
| Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats | — | Auburn Tigers $869 | — | Arizona Wildcats $1.3K |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Thunder $358 | — | Clippers $1.7K |
| Lindenwood Lions vs. Omaha Mavericks: O/U 154.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $5 | — | Under $1.5K |
| Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats | — | Auburn Tigers $697 | — | Arizona Wildcats $156 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $447 | — | Over $391 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $602 | — | Over $71 |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $5 | — | Under $499 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Kings $118 | — | Trail Blazers $376 |
| Spread: Utah State Aggies (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies | — | Utah State Aggies $130 | — | California-San Diego Tritons $336 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $424 | — | Under $4 |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Thunder $309 | — | Clippers $40 |
| UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels opposite sides · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels | — | Saint Mary's Gaels $328 | — | UIC Flames $3 |
| Stanford Cardinal vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels opposite sides · consensus UNLV Runnin' Rebels | — | UNLV Runnin' Rebels $211 | — | Stanford Cardinal $2 |
| Spread: Rockets (-18.5) opposite sides · consensus Rockets | — | Rockets $183 | — | Jazz $9 |
| Spread: Arizona State Sun Devils (-31.5) opposite sides · consensus Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | — | Arizona State Sun Devils $57 | — | Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks $95 |
| DePaul Blue Demons vs. Northwestern Wildcats: O/U 140.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $9 | — | Under $113 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Kings $5 | — | Trail Blazers $79 |
| Ball State Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 150.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $36 | — | Under $4 |
| Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 157.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $14 | — | Over $12 |
| Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 158.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $20 | — | Over $3 |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $1.0K | — | Spurs $25K |
| Spread: Spurs (-10.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $1.2K | — | Spurs $16K |
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $602 | — | Spurs $14K |
| Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $4.0K | — | Over $9.9K |
| Spread: Rockets (-17.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $1.9K | — | Jazz $8.7K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | — | Under $9.0K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $7.0K | — | Spurs $3.2K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $816 | — | Under $6.2K |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $296 | — | Vikings $6.5K |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $560 | — | Spurs $5.5K |
| Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers same side · consensus Arizona Wildcats | — | Arizona Wildcats $5.0K | — | Arizona Wildcats $429 |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $2.4K | — | Over $2.6K |
| Rangers vs. Canucks same side · consensus Rangers | — | Rangers $1.5K | — | Rangers $3.5K |
| Spread: Rockets (-16.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $1.8K | — | Jazz $2.7K |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | Thunder $426 | — | Thunder $3.6K |
| Predators vs. Golden Knights same side · consensus Golden Knights | — | Predators $333 | — | Predators $3.6K |
| Seton Hall Pirates vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 156.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $230 | — | Under $2.0K |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | — | Seahawks $546 | — | Seahawks $1.5K |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Falcons $169 | — | Falcons $1.2K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $49 | — | Colts $1.1K |
| Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $761 | — | Over $267 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5) same side · consensus Kings | — | Kings $405 | — | Kings $44 |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $220 | — | Clippers $211 |
| Spread: San Diego Toreros (-14.5) same side · consensus Chicago State Cougars | — | Chicago State Cougars $2 | — | Chicago State Cougars $382 |
| Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-15.5) same side · consensus Seton Hall Pirates | — | Alabama Crimson Tide $204 | — | Alabama Crimson Tide $114 |