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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| appleperson | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 72% (1945–745, n=2690) | 54% (371–318, n=689) | 59% (40–28, n=68) |
| Consensus PnL | $89 | $410K | $398K | $532K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #992 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #15 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 50% (109 of 216 open) | 70% (117 of 168 open) | 50% (6 of 12 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=381 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2 at avg 68¢, ROI +36% | 44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1% | 100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 40% (won 6% of 362) | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 3% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 21% (won 43% of 192) | 32% (won 100% of 62) | 33% (won 100% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 11% (won 64% of 103) | 59% (won 100% of 115) | 44% (won 100% of 17) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 27% (won 95% of 239) | 8% (won 100% of 15) | 21% (won 100% of 8) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
29 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | appleperson | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors vs. Spurs opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $8.2K | Spurs $3.2K | Warriors $2.8K |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $540 | Clippers $1.7K | Thunder $8.3K |
| Thunder vs. Clippers opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Clippers $1.5K | — | Thunder $267K |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $1.2K | Thunder $12K | — |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $505 | Under $9.8K | — |
| Rangers vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $71 | Over $3.2K | — |
| Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats | — | Auburn Tigers $889 | Arizona Wildcats $1.3K | — |
| Lindenwood Lions vs. Omaha Mavericks: O/U 154.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $5 | Under $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Kings $225 | Trail Blazers $376 | — |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $5 | Under $499 | — |
| Spread: Utah State Aggies (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies | — | Utah State Aggies $130 | California-San Diego Tritons $336 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Kings $380 | Trail Blazers $79 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Thunder $362 | Clippers $40 | — |
| Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats | — | Auburn Tigers $204 | Arizona Wildcats $156 | — |
| UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels opposite sides · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels | — | Saint Mary's Gaels $328 | UIC Flames $3 | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $278 | Over $10 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-18.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Rockets $176 | Jazz $9 | — |
| Ball State Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 150.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $36 | Under $4 | — |
| Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 157.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $14 | Over $12 | — |
| Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 158.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $20 | Over $3 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-15.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $4.6K | Jazz $25K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $1.1K | Spurs $25K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-10.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $1.3K | Spurs $16K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $608 | Spurs $15K | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-17.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $1.9K | Jazz $8.7K | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | Under $8.7K | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $296 | Vikings $6.5K | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $784 | Under $6.0K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $560 | Spurs $5.5K | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $2.4K | Over $2.6K | — |
| Rangers vs. Canucks same side · consensus Rangers | — | Rangers $1.5K | Rangers $3.5K | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-16.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $1.8K | Jazz $2.7K | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | Thunder $452 | Thunder $3.6K | — |
| Predators vs. Golden Knights same side · consensus Golden Knights | — | Predators $333 | Predators $3.6K | — |
| Seton Hall Pirates vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 156.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $293 | Under $2.0K | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | — | Seahawks $546 | Seahawks $1.5K | — |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Falcons $169 | Falcons $1.2K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $49 | Colts $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5) same side · consensus Kings | — | Kings $438 | Kings $499 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Kings $599 | Kings $44 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $220 | Clippers $190 | — |
| Spread: San Diego Toreros (-14.5) same side · consensus Chicago State Cougars | — | Chicago State Cougars $2 | Chicago State Cougars $382 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Kings $336 | Kings $3 | — |
| Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-15.5) same side · consensus Seton Hall Pirates | — | Alabama Crimson Tide $204 | Alabama Crimson Tide $114 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) same side · consensus Warriors | — | Warriors $4 | Warriors $173 | — |
| Houston vs. Colorado same side · consensus Houston | — | Colorado $20 | Colorado $101 | — |
| Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-17.5) same side · consensus Seton Hall Pirates | — | Alabama Crimson Tide $6 | Alabama Crimson Tide $41 | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1 | Over $35 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Warriors $17 | Warriors $1 | — |