Known as jakepaulthegoat2008 since Nov 7 2026 · Previously known as: jakepaulthegoat2008 (Nov 2 – Nov 7 2026), FORTNITEMASTER888 (Oct 3 2026), 0p0jogggg (Mar 6 2026)
Consensus PnL -$637K · win rate 50% (3059–3067, n=6126) · PM monthly #26 · holds 9 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$-636.9K
Record
3059W / 3067L
Win Rate
50.0%
of 6126 settled
Batting Avg
71.9%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1166
Source
PM monthly #26 + pinned
Record (90 d)
599/1043 · 57%
Trades
369,146
Markets
14,785
Volume
$147.5M
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Top consensus positions
9 in listed consensus markets · 6 of 9 on the consensus side (67%)- Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?Yes $175K · now 54¢ · in at 44¢with the consensus (44% of 49)
- Spurs vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers $12K · now 42¢ · in at 44¢against the consensus (Spurs)
- Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?Yes $2.5K · now 24¢ · in at 10¢with the consensus (59% of 38)
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing PlayoffsTheMongolz $540 · now 32¢ · in at 30¢against the consensus (Natus Vincere)
- Will Yaxel Lendeborg win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Yes $185 · now 27¢ · in at 32¢with the consensus (67% of 10)
- Nothing Ever Happens: ObamaNothing $33 · now 96¢ · in at 95¢with the consensus (86% of 7)
- Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?No $33 · now 68¢ · in at 72¢with the consensus (61% of 29)
- Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? No $24 · now 98¢ · in at 86¢with the consensus (71% of 7)
Specialties
4,813 settled consensus markets · held side won 52% at an average entry of 49¢- College Basketball
+6 pts
side won 55% of 599 · avg entry 48¢
ROI −7%
- Esports
+5 pts
side won 55% of 1078 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +5%
- NBA
+3 pts
side won 52% of 995 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +10%
Weakest: MLB — held side won 41% of 119 at an average 47¢ entry (−6 pts against the price), ROI +23%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 13%(won 23% of 628)
- 30–50¢: 44%(won 46% of 2128)
- 50–70¢: 29%(won 60% of 1403)
- 70¢ and up: 14%(won 81% of 654)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.