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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
HomeRunHazardnigiri99wata33-ts
Record (consensus markets)54% (366–315, n=681)54% (338–285, n=623)no settled market
Consensus PnL$405K$411K—
Tracked asPM monthly #8PM monthly #105PM monthly #825
Sides with the consensus68% (125 of 184 open)52% (67 of 128 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
not computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%—
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 2)14% (won 33% of 73)—
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 100% of 62)24% (won 56% of 125)—
Entries 50–70¢59% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 69% of 226)—
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 100% of 15)18% (won 98% of 96)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

38 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketHomeRunHazardnigiri99wata33-ts
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $16KRockets $48—
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Warriors $5.3KSpurs $7.3K—
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
Colorado $2.9KHouston $7.7K—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $5.5KOver $1.9K—
Houston vs. Colorado: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $5.6KOver $29—
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $4.4KUnder $1.1K—
Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.2KUnder $2.4K—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $2.2KKings $1.8K—
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.1KOver $2.6K—
Predators vs. Golden Knights
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
Predators $3.6KGolden Knights $79—
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Thunder $3.6KClippers $12—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.4KOver $60—
Spread: James Madison (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UConn
UConn $2.1KJames Madison $1.3K—
Spread: Alabama (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt
Alabama $1.6KVanderbilt $967—
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
Indiana $2.5KUSC $2—
Spread: UCLA (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus UCLA
Illinois $434UCLA $1.5K—
California-San Diego Tritons vs. Utah State Aggies
opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies
Utah State Aggies $733California-San Diego Tritons $52—
Spread: Auburn (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Auburn
Mississippi State $393Auburn $373—
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Warriors $1Spurs $259—
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $23Under $200—
Alabama vs. Vanderbilt
opposite sides · consensus Alabama
Alabama $62Vanderbilt $13—
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Thunder $22KThunder $6.5K—
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $14KSpurs $650—
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $5.3KSpurs $9.4K—
Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $12KOver $1.5K—
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Thunder $12KThunder $52—
Warriors vs. Spurs
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $3.4KSpurs $8.2K—
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Clippers $1.7KClippers $9.3K—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $9.7KUnder $117—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $7.4KUnder $1.7K—
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $8.2KOver $608—
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)
same side · consensus Indiana
Indiana $6.4KIndiana $911—
Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5.5KUnder $872—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Kings $656Kings $3.2K—
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Texans
Browns $2.4KBrowns $1.2K—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.3KOver $60—
Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5)
same side · consensus Sam Houston
Kennesaw State $2.2KKennesaw State $580—
Spread: Alabama (-16.5)
same side · consensus Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt $2.1KVanderbilt $542—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Titans
Jaguars $1.1KJaguars $1.3K—
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.6KOver $800—
Houston vs. Colorado: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $80Over $1.8K—
Illinois vs. UCLA
same side · consensus UCLA
UCLA $1.0KUCLA $705—
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $1.6KJazz $31—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Trail Blazers $323Trail Blazers $1.1K—
Houston vs. Colorado
same side · consensus Houston
Colorado $101Colorado $1.0K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $1.1KColts $3—
Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $6Over $861—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
same side · consensus South Carolina
South Carolina $265South Carolina $546—
Spread: Houston (-8.5)
same side · consensus Houston
Houston $473Houston $255—
Spread: BYU (-7.5)
same side · consensus Baylor
BYU $291BYU $348—