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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | Secondhandvinyl | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (366–315, n=681) | 54% (338–285, n=623) | 91% (161–15, n=176) |
| Consensus PnL | $405K | $411K | $947 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #981 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (128 of 184 open) | 53% (69 of 129 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% | 100% of 163 at avg 91¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 14% (won 33% of 73) | 1% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 62) | 24% (won 56% of 125) | 1% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 59% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 69% of 226) | 3% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 100% of 15) | 18% (won 98% of 96) | 94% (won 100% of 154) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
39 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | Secondhandvinyl |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Hawks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Bulls $21K | Hawks $8.2K | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $16K | Rockets $48 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Spurs | Warriors $5.3K | Spurs $7.2K | — |
| Spread: Houston (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Houston | Colorado $2.9K | Houston $7.5K | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $5.5K | Over $1.9K | — |
| Houston vs. Colorado: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $5.6K | Over $29 | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4.4K | Under $1.1K | — |
| Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.2K | Under $2.4K | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $2.2K | Kings $1.9K | — |
| Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.1K | Over $2.6K | — |
| Predators vs. Golden Knights opposite sides · consensus Predators | Predators $3.6K | Golden Knights $79 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | Thunder $3.6K | Clippers $12 | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.4K | Over $60 | — |
| Spread: James Madison (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus UConn | UConn $2.1K | James Madison $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Alabama (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt | Alabama $1.6K | Vanderbilt $967 | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | Indiana $2.5K | USC $2 | — |
| Spread: UCLA (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus UCLA | Illinois $434 | UCLA $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | Bulls $736 | Hawks $471 | — |
| Will Guatemala win on 2026-11-13? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $36 | No $1.0K |
| California-San Diego Tritons vs. Utah State Aggies opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies | Utah State Aggies $733 | California-San Diego Tritons $52 | — |
| Spread: Auburn (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Auburn | Mississippi State $393 | Auburn $373 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Spurs | Warriors $1 | Spurs $259 | — |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $23 | Under $200 | — |
| Alabama vs. Vanderbilt opposite sides · consensus Alabama | Alabama $62 | Vanderbilt $13 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) same side · consensus Clippers | Thunder $22K | Thunder $6.5K | — |
| Will Canada win on 2026-11-13? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $27K | Yes $943 |
| Spread: Spurs (-10.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $14K | Spurs $640 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $5.3K | Spurs $9.4K | — |
| Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $12K | Over $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) same side · consensus Clippers | Thunder $12K | Thunder $48 | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $3.4K | Spurs $8.2K | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) same side · consensus Clippers | Clippers $1.7K | Clippers $9.7K | — |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $9.7K | Under $117 | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $7.4K | Under $1.7K | — |
| Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $8.2K | Over $608 | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-7.5) same side · consensus Indiana | Indiana $6.4K | Indiana $911 | — |
| Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $5.5K | Under $872 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5) same side · consensus Kings | Kings $656 | Kings $3.2K | — |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Texans | Browns $2.4K | Browns $1.2K | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $3.3K | Over $60 | — |
| Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5) same side · consensus Sam Houston | Kennesaw State $2.2K | Kennesaw State $580 | — |
| Spread: Alabama (-16.5) same side · consensus Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt $2.1K | Vanderbilt $542 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | Jaguars $1.1K | Jaguars $1.3K | — |
| Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.6K | Over $800 | — |
| Houston vs. Colorado: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $80 | Over $1.8K | — |
| Illinois vs. UCLA same side · consensus UCLA | UCLA $1.0K | UCLA $705 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-16.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Jazz $1.6K | Jazz $31 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5) same side · consensus Kings | Trail Blazers $323 | Trail Blazers $1.1K | — |
| Houston vs. Colorado same side · consensus Houston | Colorado $101 | Colorado $1.0K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $1.1K | Colts $3 | — |