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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | Secondhandvinyl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (371–318, n=689) | 54% (345–290, n=635) | 59% (40–28, n=68) | 91% (163–17, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $398K | $403K | $532K | $897 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #15 + pinned | PM monthly #981 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (117 of 171 open) | 55% (66 of 121 open) | 50% (6 of 12 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% | 100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38% | 100% of 163 at avg 91¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 14% (won 33% of 73) | 3% (won 100% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 62) | 24% (won 56% of 125) | 33% (won 100% of 13) | 1% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 59% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 69% of 226) | 44% (won 100% of 17) | 3% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 100% of 15) | 18% (won 98% of 96) | 21% (won 100% of 8) | 94% (won 100% of 154) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
36 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | Secondhandvinyl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | Clippers $1.7K | Clippers $8.4K | Thunder $8.7K | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs opposite sides · consensus Spurs | Spurs $3.2K | Spurs $8.3K | Warriors $2.3K | — |
| Thunder vs. Clippers opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Clippers $488 | Thunder $279K | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Gen.G | — | Bilibili Gaming $1.1K | Gen.G $93K | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $25K | Rockets $191 | — | — |
| Spread: Houston (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Houston | Colorado $2.8K | Houston $9.3K | — | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $6.1K | Over $1.2K | — | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4.4K | Under $1.1K | — | — |
| Houston vs. Colorado: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $5.5K | Over $30 | — | — |
| Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.2K | Under $2.4K | — | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $2.4K | Kings $1.7K | — | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | Thunder $3.6K | Clippers $12 | — | — |
| Predators vs. Golden Knights opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights | Predators $3.6K | Golden Knights $79 | — | — |
| Rangers vs. Canucks opposite sides · consensus Rangers | Rangers $3.5K | Canucks $29 | — | — |
| Spread: James Madison (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus UConn | UConn $2.1K | James Madison $1.3K | — | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.9K | Over $54 | — | — |
| Spread: Alabama (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt | Alabama $1.6K | Vanderbilt $967 | — | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | Indiana $2.5K | USC $2 | — | — |
| Spread: UCLA (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus UCLA | Illinois $434 | UCLA $1.5K | — | — |
| Will Guatemala win on 2026-11-13? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $64 | — | No $1.0K |
| California-San Diego Tritons vs. Utah State Aggies opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies | Utah State Aggies $791 | California-San Diego Tritons $52 | — | — |
| Spread: Auburn (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Auburn | Mississippi State $393 | Auburn $373 | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Spurs | Warriors $1 | Spurs $259 | — | — |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $23 | Under $200 | — | — |
| Alabama vs. Vanderbilt opposite sides · consensus Alabama | Alabama $62 | Vanderbilt $13 | — | — |
| Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | — | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $333K | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $209K | — |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs same side · consensus Team Falcons | — | Team Falcons $978 | Team Falcons $136K | — |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5) same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | Gen.G $326 | Gen.G $43K | — |
| Will Canada win on 2026-11-13? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $28K | — | Yes $957 |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) same side · consensus Clippers | Thunder $22K | Thunder $6.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $25K | Spurs $2.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-10.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $16K | Spurs $660 | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $5.5K | Spurs $9.6K | — | — |
| Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $12K | Over $1.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) same side · consensus Clippers | Thunder $12K | Thunder $55 | — | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $8.7K | Under $1.8K | — | — |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $9.8K | Under $116 | — | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-7.5) same side · consensus Indiana | Indiana $6.4K | Indiana $911 | — | — |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Texans | Browns $2.4K | Browns $1.2K | — | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $3.2K | Over $57 | — | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5) same side · consensus Kings | Kings $499 | Kings $2.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-16.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Jazz $2.7K | Jazz $51 | — | — |
| Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5) same side · consensus Sam Houston | Kennesaw State $2.2K | Kennesaw State $580 | — | — |
| Spread: Alabama (-16.5) same side · consensus Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt $2.1K | Vanderbilt $542 | — | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | Jaguars $1.1K | Jaguars $1.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $376 | Trail Blazers $1.6K | — | — |
| Houston vs. Colorado: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $63 | Over $1.9K | — | — |
| Illinois vs. UCLA same side · consensus UCLA | UCLA $1.1K | UCLA $775 | — | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | Under $1 | — | — |
| Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $810 | Over $344 | — | — |