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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | Tsamam | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (516–456, n=972) | 48% (600–648, n=1248) | 58% (11–8, n=19) | 50% (1–1, n=2) |
| Consensus PnL | $362K | $512K | $769K | $4.9K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #18 | was PM monthly #70 | PM monthly #980 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (111 of 175 open) | 53% (72 of 137 open) | no open consensus position | 38% (3 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 6% (won 100% of 20) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 36% (won 100% of 128) | 58% (won 100% of 7) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 50% (won 100% of 175) | 33% (won 100% of 4) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 8% (won 100% of 28) | 0% | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
25 on the same side, 37 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | Tsamam |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa opposite sides · consensus Tulsa | Florida Atlantic $811 | Tulsa $40K | — | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Pelicans $18K | Nuggets $20K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $8.4K | Over $26K | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $15K | Mavericks $11K | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $9.1K | Timberwolves $14K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.7K | Over $21K | — | — |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Utah | Utah $231 | Arizona $21K | — | — |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Avalanche | Canadiens $14K | Avalanche $4.0K | — | — |
| Wild vs. Bruins opposite sides · consensus Wild | Bruins $70 | Wild $17K | — | — |
| Devils vs. Capitals opposite sides · consensus Devils | Capitals $894 | Devils $16K | — | — |
| Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $867 | Under $16K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $4.6K | Over $12K | — | — |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | South Carolina $3.8K | Arkansas $11K | — | — |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.6K | Over $9.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Heat $7.4K | Pistons $5.2K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $5.1K | Over $6.3K | — | — |
| Sabres vs. Stars: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $149 | Under $11K | — | — |
| Flyers vs. Blue Jackets opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets | Blue Jackets $796 | Flyers $9.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $9.4K | Mavericks $448 | — | — |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | Stanford $3.9K | Virginia Tech $3.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $6.2K | Mavericks $781 | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $6.7K | Mavericks $2 | — | — |
| North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.4K | Over $3.0K | — | — |
| Spread: LSU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas | Texas $5.7K | LSU $24 | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $2.0K | Timberwolves $3.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines | Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4K | Utah Valley Wolverines $3.7K | — | — |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $4.2K | Over $3 | — | — |
| Spread: Louisville (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus North Carolina | North Carolina $2.1K | Louisville $1.3K | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.5K | Under $718 | — | — |
| Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2.8K | Over $47 | — | — |
| Islanders vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Islanders | Ducks $1.9K | Islanders $195 | — | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $572 | Under $970 | — | — |
| Spread: Louisville (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Louisville | North Carolina $547 | Louisville $388 | — | — |
| Spread: Kentucky (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida | Florida $19 | Kentucky $745 | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $405 | Under $11 | — | — |
| Minnesota vs. Penn State: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $287 | Over $6 | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Pistons $199 | Heat $9 | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers same side · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $48K | Cavaliers $133K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $83K | Grizzlies $33K | — | — |
| Spread: New Mexico (-17.5) same side · consensus UNLV | New Mexico $365 | New Mexico $32K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $25K | Grizzlies $291 | — | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $9.2K | Over $15K | — | — |
| Spread: LSU (-4.5) same side · consensus LSU | Texas $1.9K | Texas $18K | — | — |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force same side · consensus Air Force | Air Force $213 | Air Force $14K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $6.0K | Heat $7.0K | — | — |
| Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $13K | Over $170 | — | — |
| Oregon State vs. Boise State same side · consensus Boise State | Boise State $11K | Boise State $895 | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.2K | Over $8.7K | — | — |
| Spread: New Mexico (-16.5) same side · consensus New Mexico | New Mexico $850 | New Mexico $7.8K | — | — |
| Spread: LSU (-6.5) same side · consensus LSU | LSU $5.4K | LSU $238 | — | — |