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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | nigiri99 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | Tsamam | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (2619–1078, n=3697) | 54% (455–392, n=847) | 58% (11–8, n=19) | 50% (1–1, n=2) |
| Consensus PnL | $482K | $324K | $769K | $4.9K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #287 | was PM monthly #70 | PM monthly #980 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (133 of 245 open) | 52% (88 of 169 open) | no open consensus position | 38% (3 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% | 92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 13% (won 40% of 81) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 24% (won 62% of 144) | 58% (won 100% of 7) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 43% (won 74% of 261) | 33% (won 100% of 4) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 20% (won 98% of 119) | 0% | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
28 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | nigiri99 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | Tsamam |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabres vs. Stars opposite sides · consensus Stars | Sabres $215 | Stars $96K | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $7.5K | Bulls $31K | — | — |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Utah | Arizona $23 | Utah $14K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $2.5K | Nets $10K | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Pistons $1.0K | Heat $10K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $615 | Nets $5.8K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $1.4K | Nets $4.9K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $3.3K | Under $1.7K | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $31 | Over $2.4K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $2.0K | Under $63 | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.3K | Over $154 | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $963 | Under $290 | — | — |
| Wild vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $685 | Under $330 | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $914 | Mavericks $78 | — | — |
| Spread: Nets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $133 | Nets $669 | — | — |
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | Ole Miss $260 | Oklahoma $507 | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $686 | Mavericks $63 | — | — |
| Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $306 | Over $424 | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $350 | Nets $80 | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $5 | Nets $412 | — | — |
| Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $113 | Over $186 | — | — |
| Spread: Oilers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Maple Leafs | Maple Leafs $205 | Oilers $89 | — | — |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $54 | Over $53 | — | — |
| Spread: Sharks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Sharks | Utah $89 | Sharks $12 | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $859 | Bulls $197K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $924 | Grizzlies $33K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $293 | Heat $11K | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $232 | Over $7.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $4.5K | Bulls $1.4K | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.3K | Under $3.4K | — | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Oklahoma State | Texas Tech $384 | Texas Tech $2.9K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $814 | Under $2.2K | — | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas same side · consensus South Carolina | Arkansas $1.1K | Arkansas $1.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-4.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Mavericks $2.2K | Mavericks $32 | — | — |
| Senators vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $93 | Under $2.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $1.7K | Bulls $288 | — | — |
| Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) same side · consensus Canadiens | Avalanche $67 | Avalanche $1.8K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $247 | Under $1.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Heat $434 | Heat $915 | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $61 | Under $1.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-16.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $1.2K | Bulls $37 | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-17.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $457 | Bulls $373 | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $393 | Heat $363 | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 239.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $262 | Under $344 | — | — |
| Spread: Wild (-1.5) same side · consensus Bruins | Wild $26 | Wild $541 | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $314 | Bulls $66 | — | — |
| Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5) same side · consensus Flyers | Blue Jackets $8 | Blue Jackets $320 | — | — |
| Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks same side · consensus Montana Grizzlies | Montana Grizzlies $21 | Montana Grizzlies $216 | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers same side · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $115 | Mavericks $48 | — | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $49 | Colts $3 | — | — |