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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ilyho | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MD14 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (2619–1078, n=3697) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 48% (600–648, n=1248) | 81% (22–5, n=27) |
| Consensus PnL | $482K | $19K | $512K | $328K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #953 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #116 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (150 of 278 open) | 0% (0 of 3 open) | 53% (79 of 149 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | — | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 5% of 409) | — | 6% (won 100% of 20) | 4% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 41% of 222) | — | 36% (won 100% of 128) | 13% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 64% of 115) | — | 50% (won 100% of 175) | 21% (won 80% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 94% of 271) | — | 8% (won 100% of 28) | 63% (won 100% of 15) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
33 on the same side, 38 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | ilyho | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MD14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | Timberwolves $92 | — | Bulls $63K | — |
| Spread: Senators (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Penguins | Senators $140 | — | Penguins $32K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Pelicans $8.5K | — | Nuggets $20K | — |
| Spread: Blues (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Panthers | Blues $1 | — | Panthers $25K | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1.9K | — | Under $21K | — |
| Devils vs. Capitals opposite sides · consensus Devils | Capitals $75 | — | Devils $16K | — |
| Sabres vs. Stars opposite sides · consensus Stars | Sabres $416 | — | Stars $9.3K | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $4.2K | — | Timberwolves $3.1K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $573 | — | Nets $6.0K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Heat $434 | — | Pistons $5.2K | — |
| Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Flyers | Blue Jackets $11 | — | Flyers $5.1K | — |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Avalanche | Canadiens $134 | — | Avalanche $4.0K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $350 | — | Nets $3.4K | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas opposite sides · consensus South Carolina | Arkansas $1.1K | — | South Carolina $2.0K | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $259 | — | Over $2.7K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $412 | — | Nets $1.2K | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $578 | — | Mavericks $781 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $21 | — | Under $988 | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Mavericks $240 | — | Cavaliers $756 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $6 | — | Under $945 | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $334 | — | Under $581 | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Pelicans $781 | — | Nuggets $3 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $632 | — | Over $2 | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $616 | — | Mavericks $2 | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $88 | — | Over $447 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $54 | — | Nets $465 | — |
| Spread: Oilers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Oilers | Maple Leafs $205 | — | Oilers $204 | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | Bulls $371 | — | Timberwolves $11 | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Pelicans $308 | — | Nuggets $8 | — |
| UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 160.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2 | — | Over $308 | — |
| Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $248 | — | Over $47 | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $132 | — | Over $7 | — |
| Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $106 | — | Under $14 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $5 | — | Nets $108 | — |
| Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $105 | — | Over $1 | — |
| Senators vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $93 | — | Over $8 | — |
| Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Oilers | Oilers $5 | — | Maple Leafs $6 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $5 | — | Under $3 | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers same side · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $11K | — | Cavaliers $133K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $3.2K | — | Over $26K | — |
| Utah vs. Arizona same side · consensus Utah | Arizona $23 | — | Arizona $21K | — |
| Wild vs. Bruins same side · consensus Wild | Wild $16 | — | Wild $17K | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Nuggets | Nuggets $562 | — | Nuggets $14K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $2.5K | — | Over $12K | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $3.4K | — | Over $8.7K | — |
| Senators vs. Penguins same side · consensus Senators | Penguins $162 | — | Penguins $11K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-2.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $77 | — | Mavericks $11K | — |
| Flyers vs. Blue Jackets same side · consensus Blue Jackets | Flyers $4 | — | Flyers $9.6K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $293 | — | Heat $5.9K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $402 | — | Over $5.7K | — |