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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorphaveanedgeDOTxyzHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)72% (2002–786, n=2788)no settled market54% (412–350, n=762)55% (370–304, n=674)
Consensus PnL$395K$0$358K$436K
Tracked asPM monthly #15PM monthly #843PM monthly #8PM monthly #95
Sides with the consensus59% (105 of 177 open)no open consensus position68% (91 of 133 open)51% (53 of 103 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381———
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%—100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)—1% (won 100% of 2)14% (won 33% of 73)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)—32% (won 100% of 62)24% (won 56% of 125)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)—59% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 69% of 226)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)—8% (won 100% of 15)18% (won 98% of 96)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

36 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorphaveanedgeDOTxyzHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $1.8K—Thunder $2.0KClippers $15
Trail Blazers vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Kings $7—Trail Blazers $2.6KKings $36
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2.1K—Over $99Over $425
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Thunder $1.2K—Thunder $8.7KThunder $2.5K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.9K—Over $3.9KOver $70
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49—Colts $1.1KColts $3
Houston vs. Colorado
same side · consensus Houston
Colorado $14—Colorado $74Colorado $731
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
——Colorado $2.8KHouston $4.5K
Spread: Houston (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
——Colorado $840Houston $5.8K
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $4.4KUnder $1.1K
Houston vs. Colorado: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $4.9KOver $30
Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.2KUnder $2.4K
Spread: James Madison (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UConn
——UConn $2.1KJames Madison $1.3K
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern
Georgia State $6——Georgia Southern $2.7K
Spread: Alabama (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt
——Alabama $1.5KVanderbilt $983
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
——Indiana $2.5KUSC $2
Spread: UCLA (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus UCLA
——Illinois $346UCLA $1.9K
Predators vs. Golden Knights
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
——Predators $2.1KGolden Knights $103
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $454——Yes $1.3K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.4K——Over $273
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K——Yes $369
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.5K—Under $2—
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $926——Yes $368
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $1.1K—Kings $61—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $891—Over $7—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-22.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Trail Blazers $172——Kings $596
Spread: Auburn (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Auburn
——Mississippi State $393Auburn $373
Spread: Kings (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Kings $19——Trail Blazers $452
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $22Under $202
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $203——Thunder $11
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $105——Under $77
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $80——Over $11
Alabama vs. Vanderbilt
opposite sides · consensus Alabama
——Alabama $62Vanderbilt $13
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $6——Under $11
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $2.6KClippers $14K
Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $12KOver $1.5K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $13KUnder $162
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $967—Under $11K—
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)
same side · consensus Indiana
——Indiana $6.4KIndiana $911
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $296—Vikings $6.5K—
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Thunder $5.5KThunder $59
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K—Under $2.1K—
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Texans
——Browns $2.3KBrowns $1.2K
Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5)
same side · consensus Sam Houston
——Kennesaw State $2.2KKennesaw State $1.3K
Houston vs. Colorado: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $97Over $2.8K
Spread: Alabama (-16.5)
same side · consensus Vanderbilt
——Vanderbilt $2.1KVanderbilt $542
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
——Trail Blazers $558Trail Blazers $1.9K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Titans
——Jaguars $1.1KJaguars $1.3K
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Kings
——Kings $379Kings $1.8K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $546—Seahawks $1.5K—