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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpgoogleplayHomeRunHazardSecondhandvinyl
Record (consensus markets)72% (1945–745, n=2690)50% (6–6, n=12)54% (371–318, n=689)91% (163–17, n=180)
Consensus PnL$410K$423K$398K$897
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #20PM monthly #8PM monthly #981
Sides with the consensus55% (128 of 232 open)0% (0 of 1 open)70% (121 of 174 open)100% (4 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381———
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 163 at avg 91¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)0%1% (won 100% of 2)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)17% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 100% of 62)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)83% (won 100% of 5)59% (won 100% of 115)3% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)0%8% (won 100% of 15)94% (won 100% of 154)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

32 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpgoogleplayHomeRunHazardSecondhandvinyl
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $4.5KRockets $50KJazz $25K—
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $1.3K—Thunder $12K—
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Under $2.5K—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $94—Over $3.2K—
Rangers vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $71—Over $3.2K—
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats
Auburn Tigers $869—Arizona Wildcats $1.3K—
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Thunder $358—Clippers $1.7K—
Will Guatemala win on 2026-11-13?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $782——No $1.0K
Lindenwood Lions vs. Omaha Mavericks: O/U 154.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $5—Under $1.5K—
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats
Auburn Tigers $697—Arizona Wildcats $156—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $447—Over $391—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $602—Over $71—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $5—Under $499—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $118—Trail Blazers $376—
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies
Utah State Aggies $130—California-San Diego Tritons $336—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $424—Under $4—
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Thunder $309—Clippers $40—
UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels
opposite sides · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels
Saint Mary's Gaels $328—UIC Flames $3—
Stanford Cardinal vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels
opposite sides · consensus UNLV Runnin' Rebels
UNLV Runnin' Rebels $211—Stanford Cardinal $2—
Spread: Rockets (-18.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
Rockets $183—Jazz $9—
Spread: Arizona State Sun Devils (-31.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
Arizona State Sun Devils $57—Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks $95—
DePaul Blue Demons vs. Northwestern Wildcats: O/U 140.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $9—Under $113—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Kings $5—Trail Blazers $79—
Ball State Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 150.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $36—Under $4—
Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 157.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $14—Over $12—
Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 158.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $20—Over $3—
Will Canada win on 2026-11-13?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $30K——Yes $954
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $1.0K—Spurs $25K—
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $1.2K—Spurs $16K—
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $602—Spurs $14K—
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $4.0K—Over $9.9K—
Spread: Rockets (-17.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $1.9K—Jazz $8.7K—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.5K—Under $9.0K—
Warriors vs. Spurs
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $7.0K—Spurs $3.2K—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $816—Under $6.2K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $296—Vikings $6.5K—
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $560—Spurs $5.5K—
Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers
same side · consensus Arizona Wildcats
Arizona Wildcats $5.0K—Arizona Wildcats $429—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.4K—Over $2.6K—
Rangers vs. Canucks
same side · consensus Rangers
Rangers $1.5K—Rangers $3.5K—
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $1.8K—Jazz $2.7K—
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Thunder $426—Thunder $3.6K—
Predators vs. Golden Knights
same side · consensus Golden Knights
Predators $333—Predators $3.6K—
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 156.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $230—Under $2.0K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $546—Seahawks $1.5K—
Guatemala vs. Canada: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K——Under $243
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
Falcons $169—Falcons $1.2K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49—Colts $1.1K—
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $761—Over $267—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Kings $405—Kings $44—