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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CFFFFFFFSAFlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2619–1078, n=3697)53% (516–456, n=972)48% (600–648, n=1248)
Consensus PnL$0$482K$362K$512K
Tracked asPM monthly #837PM monthly #10PM monthly #11PM monthly #18
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position54% (150 of 279 open)63% (117 of 187 open)53% (79 of 149 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 409)1% (won 100% of 3)6% (won 100% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 222)31% (won 100% of 70)36% (won 100% of 128)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 115)60% (won 100% of 135)50% (won 100% of 175)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 271)7% (won 100% of 16)8% (won 100% of 28)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

61 on the same side, 80 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCFFFFFFFSAFlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.9KUnder $32KUnder $21K
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $8.5KPelicans $18KNuggets $20K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.2KUnder $8.4KOver $26K
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $77Cavaliers $15KMavericks $11K
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
—Arizona $23Utah $231Arizona $21K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.5KUnder $4.6KOver $12K
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Avalanche
—Canadiens $134Canadiens $14KAvalanche $4.0K
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Wild $16Bruins $70Wild $17K
Devils vs. Capitals
opposite sides · consensus Devils
—Capitals $75Capitals $894Devils $16K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Heat $434Heat $7.4KPistons $5.2K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $402Under $5.1KOver $5.7K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $259Under $7.4KOver $2.7K
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets
opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets
—Flyers $4Blue Jackets $796Flyers $9.6K
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $90Cavaliers $9.4KMavericks $448
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $4.2KBulls $2.0KTimberwolves $3.1K
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $578Cavaliers $6.2KMavericks $781
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $616Cavaliers $6.7KMavericks $2
Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $248Under $2.8KOver $47
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $21Under $2.0KUnder $988
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $88Over $1.2KOver $447
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $6Under $25Under $945
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $308Nuggets $586Nuggets $8
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $239Over $405Under $11
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $393Pistons $199Heat $9
UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 160.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2Over $241Over $308
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $54Nets $15Nets $465
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $5Nets $8Nets $108
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $11KCavaliers $48KCavaliers $133K
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $950Grizzlies $25KGrizzlies $291
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.4KOver $1.2KOver $8.7K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $293Heat $6.0KHeat $5.9K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $278Under $910Under $9
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $39Under $432Under $5
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Timberwolves $92—Bulls $63K
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa
opposite sides · consensus Tulsa
——Florida Atlantic $811Tulsa $40K
Spread: Senators (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penguins
—Senators $140—Penguins $32K
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Blues $1—Panthers $25K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Bulls $9.1KTimberwolves $14K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.7KOver $19K
Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $867Under $16K
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
——South Carolina $3.8KArkansas $11K
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.6KOver $9.6K
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $2.6KNets $9.1K—
Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $150Cavaliers $11K—
Sabres vs. Stars: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $149Under $11K
Sabres vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
—Sabres $416—Stars $9.3K
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
——Stanford $3.9KVirginia Tech $3.2K
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $573—Nets $6.0K
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.4KOver $3.0K
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas
——Texas $5.7KLSU $24