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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bloodmaster2 | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (13–8, n=21) | 53% (494–432, n=926) | 54% (441–371, n=812) | 58% (11–8, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | -$76K | $353K | $325K | $769K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #707 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #148 | was PM monthly #70 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 67% (138 of 205 open) | 57% (102 of 180 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 16 at avg 79¢, ROI −22% | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% | 92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 13% (won 40% of 81) | 8% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 24% (won 62% of 144) | 58% (won 100% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 31% (won 80% of 5) | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 43% (won 74% of 261) | 33% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 69% (won 82% of 11) | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 20% (won 98% of 119) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
46 on the same side, 39 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bloodmaster2 | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Canadiens | — | Canadiens $23K | Avalanche $8.1K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Pelicans $19K | Nuggets $381 | — |
| Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $206 | Under $14K | — |
| Oregon State vs. Boise State opposite sides · consensus Oregon State | — | Boise State $11K | Oregon State $2.4K | — |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.7K | Over $6.4K | — |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $6.2K | — |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | South Carolina $7.4K | Arkansas $1.3K | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $5.6K | Over $777 | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2.7K | Over $3.2K | — |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Virginia Tech $1.5K | Stanford $4.1K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $4.4K | Under $1.1K | — |
| Colorado State vs. Washington State: O/U 63.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.5K | Under $3.8K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Pistons $106 | Heat $5.2K | — |
| Red Wings vs. Lightning opposite sides · consensus Lightning | — | Red Wings $1.3K | Lightning $3.7K | — |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.9K | Over $952 | — |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $4.4K | Under $361 | — |
| North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.4K | Over $455 | — |
| Spread: Wyoming (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus UTEP | — | UTEP $1.8K | Wyoming $2.1K | — |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Stanford $831 | Virginia Tech $2.8K | — |
| Arizona State vs. UCF opposite sides · consensus Arizona State | — | Arizona State $3.0K | UCF $102 | — |
| Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2.4K | Over $480 | — |
| Spread: Wyoming (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus UTEP | — | UTEP $1.9K | Wyoming $664 | — |
| North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 39.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.2K | Over $265 | — |
| Portland State Vikings vs. San Francisco Dons opposite sides · consensus San Francisco Dons | — | San Francisco Dons $1.0K | Portland State Vikings $1.2K | — |
| Islanders vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Islanders | — | Ducks $1.9K | Islanders $214 | — |
| Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $362 | Over $1.7K | — |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $524 | Under $1.0K | — |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i | — | Hawai'i $1.4K | North Dakota State $85 | — |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Stanford | — | Virginia Tech $522 | Stanford $877 | — |
| Oregon State vs. Boise State: O/U 67.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $619 | Over $696 | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $572 | Under $683 | — |
| UAB Blazers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks opposite sides · consensus UAB Blazers | — | Jacksonville State Gamecocks $17 | UAB Blazers $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $252 | Heat $782 | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $651 | Under $295 | — |
| Texas vs. LSU opposite sides · consensus LSU | — | LSU $212 | Texas $618 | — |
| Brown Bears vs. Siena Saints opposite sides · consensus Siena Saints | — | Siena Saints $520 | Brown Bears $222 | — |
| Devils vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $647 | Over $76 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Pistons $210 | Heat $332 | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | South Carolina $258 | Arkansas $12 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $21K | Grizzlies $32K | — |
| Appalachian State vs. Marshall: O/U 55.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $6.2K | Under $18K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $15K | Under $3.1K | — |
| Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $12K | Over $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Washington (-3.5) same side · consensus Michigan State | — | Michigan State $12K | Michigan State $608 | — |
| Spread: Louisville (-3.5) same side · consensus North Carolina | — | North Carolina $3.1K | North Carolina $8.4K | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $9.2K | Over $521 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $5.2K | Heat $3.2K | — |
| Flames vs. Kings same side · consensus Kings | — | Flames $2.2K | Flames $6.1K | — |
| Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $396 | Under $7.4K | — |
| Oilers vs. Maple Leafs same side · consensus Oilers | — | Maple Leafs $3.0K | Maple Leafs $4.7K | — |