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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AndreasSchmfantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)100% (4–0, n=4)52% (16–15, n=31)48% (575–620, n=1195)54% (441–371, n=812)
Consensus PnL$5.8K$795K$498K$325K
Tracked asPM monthly #724PM monthly #24PM monthly #17PM monthly #148
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 14 open)50% (1 of 2 open)54% (58 of 107 open)56% (101 of 179 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 20)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢—53% (won 100% of 9)36% (won 100% of 128)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 6)50% (won 100% of 175)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 100% of 1)8% (won 100% of 28)20% (won 98% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

28 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAndreasSchmfantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
—Bilibili Gaming $101K—Gen.G $394
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
——Panthers $25KBlues $199
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Nuggets $12KPelicans $2.9K
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
——Kentucky $11KFlorida $4.6K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $12KUnder $434
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
——Islanders $11KDucks $563
Pistons vs. Heat
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
——Pistons $1.6KHeat $9.8K
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Pelicans $9.6KNuggets $565
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
——Wild $10KBruins $6
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus North Carolina
——Louisville $993North Carolina $8.4K
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
——Virginia Tech $4.6KStanford $4.1K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Timberwolves $7.6KBulls $844
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
——Pistons $5.7KHeat $782
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flyers
——Flyers $4.9KBlue Jackets $348
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison
——Kayla Harrison $4.7KAmanda Nunes $386
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $410——No $4.5K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2.7KOver $770
Tulane vs. Rice
opposite sides · consensus Rice
——Tulane $457Rice $2.7K
Oregon State vs. Boise State
opposite sides · consensus Oregon State
——Boise State $590Oregon State $2.4K
Games Total: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $15Over $2.8K
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
——Cavaliers $2.6KMavericks $143
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Blues
——Blues $2.0KPanthers $634
Spread: Kentucky (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
——Florida $692Kentucky $1.4K
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $881Under $1.0K
Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i
——Hawai'i $1.6KNorth Dakota State $85
UFC 334: Stephen Thompson vs. Charles Radtke (Welterweight, Prelims)
opposite sides · consensus Charles Radtke
——Stephen Thompson $1.4KCharles Radtke $298
Spread: Kentucky (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida
——Kentucky $1.1KFlorida $298
Auburn vs. Mississippi State
opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State
——Mississippi State $5Auburn $58
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
——Bulls $33KBulls $36K
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $209Grizzlies $32K
Sabres vs. Stars
same side · consensus Stars
——Stars $9.7KStars $15K
Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $20KOver $730
Oregon State vs. Boise State: O/U 65.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.7KOver $17K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $15KOver $521
San Jose State vs. Air Force
same side · consensus Air Force
——Air Force $12KAir Force $145
Spread: Iowa (-18.5)
same side · consensus Iowa
——Iowa $10KIowa $1.3K
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
same side · consensus Canadiens
——Avalanche $2.5KAvalanche $8.1K
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs
same side · consensus Oilers
——Maple Leafs $5.5KMaple Leafs $4.7K
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $8.6KOver $952
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
same side · consensus Virginia Tech
——Virginia Tech $6.4KVirginia Tech $2.8K
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
same side · consensus Arkansas
——Arkansas $6.8KArkansas $1.3K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Heat $4.7KHeat $3.2K
UFC 334: Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims)
same side · consensus Donte Johnson
——Cesar Almeida $3.0KCesar Almeida $3.5K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $5.6KOver $777
Panthers vs. Blues
same side · consensus Blues
——Blues $4.4KBlues $509
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $4.3KOver $455
Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.5KUnder $2.9K
UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Uroš Medic
——Kevin Holland $1.4KKevin Holland $1.7K
Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D
same side · consensus Froglings
——1win $2.3K1win $104
Oregon State vs. Boise State: O/U 67.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $817Over $696