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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xE528676bc13DbB685E903E5672F38D4323e59F0B-1779887413099fantasy7788HomeRunHazardnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (12–11, n=23)54% (371–318, n=689)54% (345–290, n=635)
Consensus PnL$0$567K$398K$403K
Tracked asPM monthly #950PM monthly #37PM monthly #8PM monthly #95
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)66% (96 of 145 open)52% (57 of 109 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 2)14% (won 33% of 73)
Entries 30–50¢—54% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 100% of 62)24% (won 56% of 125)
Entries 50–70¢—31% (won 100% of 4)59% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 69% of 226)
Entries 70¢ and up—8% (won 100% of 1)8% (won 100% of 15)18% (won 98% of 96)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

32 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xE528676bc13DbB685E903E5672F38D4323e59F0B-1779887413099fantasy7788HomeRunHazardnigiri99
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
——Colorado $2.8KHouston $7.4K
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $6.0KOver $1.2K
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $4.4KUnder $1.1K
Houston vs. Colorado: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $5.5KOver $30
Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.2KUnder $2.4K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
——Trail Blazers $2.4KKings $1.5K
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
——Thunder $3.6KClippers $12
Predators vs. Golden Knights
opposite sides · consensus Predators
——Predators $3.6KGolden Knights $79
Spread: James Madison (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UConn
——UConn $2.1KJames Madison $1.3K
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.9KOver $54
Spread: Alabama (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt
——Alabama $1.6KVanderbilt $967
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
——Indiana $2.5KUSC $2
Spread: UCLA (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus UCLA
——Illinois $434UCLA $1.5K
California-San Diego Tritons vs. Utah State Aggies
opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies
——Utah State Aggies $791California-San Diego Tritons $52
Spread: Auburn (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Auburn
——Mississippi State $393Auburn $373
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
——Warriors $1Spurs $259
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $23Under $200
Alabama vs. Vanderbilt
opposite sides · consensus Alabama
——Alabama $62Vanderbilt $13
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Thunder $22KThunder $6.5K
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $25KSpurs $2.1K
Thunder vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Thunder
—Clippers $21K—Clippers $488
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $5.5KSpurs $9.6K
Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $12KOver $1.5K
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $1.7KClippers $10K
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Thunder $12KThunder $49
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $8.6KUnder $1.8K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $9.8KUnder $116
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)
same side · consensus Indiana
——Indiana $6.4KIndiana $911
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Texans
——Browns $2.4KBrowns $1.2K
Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5)
same side · consensus Sam Houston
——Kennesaw State $2.2KKennesaw State $1.3K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.2KOver $57
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Kings
——Kings $499Kings $2.4K
Spread: Alabama (-16.5)
same side · consensus Vanderbilt
——Vanderbilt $2.1KVanderbilt $542
Houston vs. Colorado: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $96Over $2.3K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Titans
——Jaguars $1.1KJaguars $1.3K
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
——Trail Blazers $376Trail Blazers $1.6K
Illinois vs. UCLA
same side · consensus UCLA
——UCLA $1.1KUCLA $775
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KUnder $1
Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $810Over $344
Houston vs. Colorado
same side · consensus Houston
——Colorado $101Colorado $1.0K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
——Colts $1.1KColts $3
Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $6Over $861
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
same side · consensus South Carolina
——South Carolina $265South Carolina $546
Spread: Houston (-8.5)
same side · consensus Houston
——Houston $483Houston $210
Spread: BYU (-7.5)
same side · consensus Baylor
——BYU $291BYU $348
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $499Under $81
Spread: Tennessee (-2.5)
same side · consensus Texas A&M
——Texas A&M $22Texas A&M $500
Sharks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $491Under $5
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $71Over $305
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
same side · consensus Hurricanes
——Kraken $47Kraken $59