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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xE528676bc13DbB685E903E5672F38D4323e59F0B-1779887413099FlaznorpHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market72% (1945–745, n=2690)54% (371–318, n=689)54% (345–290, n=635)
Consensus PnL$0$410K$398K$403K
Tracked asPM monthly #950PM monthly #15PM monthly #8PM monthly #95
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position54% (104 of 193 open)66% (96 of 145 open)52% (57 of 109 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 6% of 362)1% (won 100% of 2)14% (won 33% of 73)
Entries 30–50¢—21% (won 43% of 192)32% (won 100% of 62)24% (won 56% of 125)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 103)59% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 69% of 226)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 95% of 239)8% (won 100% of 15)18% (won 98% of 96)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

42 on the same side, 39 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xE528676bc13DbB685E903E5672F38D4323e59F0B-1779887413099FlaznorpHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $1.8KThunder $12KThunder $49
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $898Under $6.0KOver $1.2K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $2.8KTrail Blazers $2.4KKings $1.5K
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $387Thunder $3.6KClippers $12
Predators vs. Golden Knights
opposite sides · consensus Predators
—Predators $221Predators $3.6KGolden Knights $79
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $1.1KTrail Blazers $376Trail Blazers $1.6K
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $1.2KWarriors $1Spurs $259
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $291Thunder $22KThunder $6.5K
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $1.0KSpurs $25KSpurs $2.1K
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $301Spurs $5.5KSpurs $9.6K
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $625Clippers $1.7KClippers $10K
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.5KUnder $8.6KUnder $1.8K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1KColts $3
Houston vs. Colorado
same side · consensus Houston
—Colorado $20Colorado $101Colorado $1.0K
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
——Colorado $2.8KHouston $7.4K
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Warriors $24—Spurs $7.4K
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $4.4KUnder $1.1K
Houston vs. Colorado: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $5.5KOver $30
Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.2KUnder $2.4K
Spread: James Madison (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UConn
——UConn $2.1KJames Madison $1.3K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $133—Over $3.2K
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.9KOver $54
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern
—Georgia State $6—Georgia Southern $2.7K
Spread: Alabama (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt
——Alabama $1.6KVanderbilt $967
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
——Indiana $2.5KUSC $2
Spread: UCLA (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus UCLA
——Illinois $434UCLA $1.5K
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $460—Yes $1.3K
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $366
California-San Diego Tritons vs. Utah State Aggies
opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies
——Utah State Aggies $791California-San Diego Tritons $52
Spread: Trail Blazers (-22.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Trail Blazers $158—Kings $627
UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels
opposite sides · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels
—Saint Mary's Gaels $773UIC Flames $3—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $765Over $8—
Spread: Auburn (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Auburn
——Mississippi State $393Auburn $373
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $290—Yes $362
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $429—Over $182
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies
—Utah State Aggies $130California-San Diego Tritons $336—
Spread: Kings (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $63—Trail Blazers $395
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Thunder $144Clippers $198—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $284Over $10—
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $23Under $200
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $160—Thunder $10
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $80—Over $11
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $15—Under $76
Alabama vs. Vanderbilt
opposite sides · consensus Alabama
——Alabama $62Vanderbilt $13
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13Over $35—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $6—Under $13
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $608Spurs $15K—
Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $12KOver $1.5K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $9.8KUnder $116
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $862Under $7.9K—