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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | appleperson | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (10–8, n=18) | no settled market | 54% (371–318, n=689) | 54% (345–290, n=635) |
| Consensus PnL | $792K | $89 | $398K | $403K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #28 | was PM monthly #992 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #105 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 69% (112 of 162 open) | 52% (58 of 111 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 10 at avg 50¢, ROI +50% | 100% of 2 at avg 68¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 14% (won 33% of 73) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 100% of 4) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 62) | 24% (won 56% of 125) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 6) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 59% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 69% of 226) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 8% (won 100% of 15) | 18% (won 98% of 96) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
33 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | appleperson | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Houston (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Houston | — | — | Colorado $2.8K | Houston $7.4K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $5.7K | Over $1.2K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $4.4K | Under $1.1K |
| Houston vs. Colorado: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $5.5K | Over $30 |
| Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.2K | Under $2.4K |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Trail Blazers $2.4K | Kings $1.9K |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | — | Thunder $3.6K | Clippers $12 |
| Predators vs. Golden Knights opposite sides · consensus Predators | — | — | Predators $3.6K | Golden Knights $79 |
| Rangers vs. Canucks opposite sides · consensus Rangers | — | — | Rangers $3.5K | Canucks $29 |
| Spread: James Madison (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus UConn | — | — | UConn $2.1K | James Madison $1.3K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.9K | Over $54 |
| Spread: Alabama (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt | — | — | Alabama $1.6K | Vanderbilt $967 |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | — | — | Indiana $2.5K | USC $2 |
| Spread: UCLA (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus UCLA | — | — | Illinois $434 | UCLA $1.5K |
| California-San Diego Tritons vs. Utah State Aggies opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies | — | — | Utah State Aggies $791 | California-San Diego Tritons $52 |
| Spread: Auburn (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Auburn | — | — | Mississippi State $393 | Auburn $373 |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | — | Warriors $1 | Spurs $259 |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $23 | Under $200 |
| Alabama vs. Vanderbilt opposite sides · consensus Alabama | — | — | Alabama $62 | Vanderbilt $13 |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | — | Thunder $22K | Thunder $6.5K |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | — | Spurs $25K | Spurs $2.1K |
| Spread: Spurs (-10.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | — | Spurs $16K | Spurs $653 |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | — | Spurs $5.5K | Spurs $9.6K |
| Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $12K | Over $1.5K |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | — | Clippers $1.7K | Clippers $10K |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | — | Thunder $12K | Thunder $49 |
| Warriors vs. Spurs same side · consensus Spurs | — | — | Spurs $3.2K | Spurs $8.3K |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $9.8K | Under $116 |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $7.6K | Under $1.8K |
| Spread: Indiana (-7.5) same side · consensus Indiana | — | — | Indiana $6.4K | Indiana $911 |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Texans | — | — | Browns $2.4K | Browns $1.2K |
| Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5) same side · consensus Sam Houston | — | — | Kennesaw State $2.2K | Kennesaw State $1.3K |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.2K | Over $57 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5) same side · consensus Kings | — | — | Kings $499 | Kings $2.4K |
| Spread: Alabama (-16.5) same side · consensus Vanderbilt | — | — | Vanderbilt $2.1K | Vanderbilt $542 |
| Houston vs. Colorado: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $77 | Over $2.3K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | — | — | Jaguars $1.1K | Jaguars $1.3K |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Trail Blazers $376 | Trail Blazers $1.6K |
| Illinois vs. UCLA same side · consensus UCLA | — | — | UCLA $1.1K | UCLA $775 |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.2K | Under $1 |
| Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $810 | Over $344 |
| Houston vs. Colorado same side · consensus Houston | — | — | Colorado $101 | Colorado $1.0K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | — | Colts $1.1K | Colts $3 |
| Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $6 | Over $861 |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas same side · consensus South Carolina | — | — | South Carolina $265 | South Carolina $546 |
| Spread: Houston (-8.5) same side · consensus Houston | — | — | Houston $483 | Houston $210 |
| Spread: BYU (-7.5) same side · consensus Baylor | — | — | BYU $291 | BYU $348 |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $499 | Under $65 |
| Spread: Tennessee (-2.5) same side · consensus Texas A&M | — | — | Texas A&M $22 | Texas A&M $500 |
| Sharks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $491 | Under $5 |