Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x33d069...d826c0fantasy7788Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)0% (0–1, n=1)52% (16–15, n=31)71% (2602–1070, n=3672)48% (596–641, n=1237)
Consensus PnL-$2.0K$795K$485K$561K
Tracked asPM monthly #460PM monthly #19PM monthly #10PM monthly #18
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position49% (120 of 246 open)58% (84 of 144 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——College Basketball −4 pts, n=174—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 5% of 409)6% (won 100% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢—53% (won 100% of 9)22% (won 41% of 222)36% (won 100% of 128)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 6)11% (won 64% of 115)50% (won 100% of 175)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 94% of 271)8% (won 100% of 28)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

26 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x33d069...d826c0fantasy7788Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
——Blues $6Panthers $35K
Spread: Senators (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penguins
——Senators $39Penguins $31K
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Pelicans $6.4KNuggets $17K
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
——Grizzlies $481Nets $13K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $213Over $11K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Bulls $2.8KTimberwolves $7.6K
Sabres vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
——Sabres $16Stars $9.7K
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $204Nets $8.7K
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
——Arkansas $759South Carolina $7.3K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
——Heat $462Pistons $5.8K
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flyers
——Blue Jackets $104Flyers $4.9K
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
——Canadiens $98Avalanche $4.6K
UAB Blazers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks
opposite sides · consensus Jacksonville State Gamecocks
——Jacksonville State Gamecocks $3.5KUAB Blazers $3
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
——Cavaliers $188Mavericks $1.7K
Panthers vs. Blues
opposite sides · consensus Blues
——Panthers $9Blues $1.9K
Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers
——Saint Joseph's Hawks $53Penn Quakers $1.2K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $20Under $715
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $110Under $580
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $555Over $104
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $9Over $632
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $202Over $267
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Maple Leafs
——Maple Leafs $230Oilers $118
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
——Nets $112Grizzlies $216
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $248Mavericks $4
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
——Grizzlies $3Nets $176
Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $99Over $2
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $63Over $3
Spread: Nuggets (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Pelicans $12Nuggets $3
Utah vs. Arizona
same side · consensus Utah
——Arizona $24Arizona $21K
WTA Finals, Final Stage (Doubles): Dabrowski/Stefani vs Siniakova/Townsend
same side · consensus Siniakova/Townsend
——Siniakova/Townsend $13KSiniakova/Townsend $7.0K
Wild vs. Bruins
same side · consensus Wild
——Wild $11Wild $15K
Senators vs. Penguins
same side · consensus Senators
——Penguins $327Penguins $11K
UFC 334: Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)
same side · consensus Chris Duncan
——Drew Dober $7Drew Dober $11K
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.0KOver $7.7K
Nets vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Nets $7.9KNets $40
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Heat $210Heat $5.9K
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs
same side · consensus Oilers
——Maple Leafs $43Maple Leafs $5.9K
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
——Mavericks $418Mavericks $4.7K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $187Over $4.7K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Timberwolves
——Timberwolves $2.6KTimberwolves $832
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $2.8KOver $281
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.4KUnder $933
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Nets $1.4KNets $1
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $19Under $780
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
——Nuggets $148Nuggets $618
Baylor vs. BYU
same side · consensus BYU
——Baylor $72Baylor $185
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $203Under $10
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
——Nuggets $159Nuggets $7
Spread: Cincinnati Bearcats (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cincinnati Bearcats
——Dayton Flyers $88Dayton Flyers $5
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
——Nuggets $67Nuggets $19