Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
haveanedgeDOTxyzHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market54% (412–350, n=762)48% (473–506, n=979)55% (370–304, n=674)
Consensus PnL$0$358K$437K$436K
Tracked asPM monthly #843PM monthly #8PM monthly #21PM monthly #95
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (91 of 133 open)52% (35 of 67 open)51% (53 of 103 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 19)14% (won 33% of 73)
Entries 30–50¢—32% (won 100% of 62)37% (won 100% of 110)24% (won 56% of 125)
Entries 50–70¢—59% (won 100% of 115)50% (won 100% of 150)43% (won 69% of 226)
Entries 70¢ and up—8% (won 100% of 15)7% (won 100% of 22)18% (won 98% of 96)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

36 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkethaveanedgeDOTxyzHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $379Trail Blazers $27KKings $1.8K
Spread: UCLA (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus UCLA
—Illinois $346UCLA $24KUCLA $1.9K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $7.8KUnder $162
Predators vs. Golden Knights
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
—Predators $2.1KGolden Knights $16KGolden Knights $103
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $8.7KClippers $2.3KThunder $2.5K
Spread: Houston (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
—Colorado $840Colorado $3.2KHouston $5.8K
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
—Colorado $2.8KColorado $700Houston $4.5K
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $558Kings $5.5KTrail Blazers $1.9K
Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $810Under $847Over $344
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $2.6KClippers $3.5KClippers $14K
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $5.5KThunder $6.7KThunder $55
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $99Over $6.7KOver $425
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.9KOver $29Over $70
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4.4K—Under $1.1K
Houston vs. Colorado: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $4.9K—Over $30
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2Over $4.7K
Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.2K—Under $2.4K
Spread: James Madison (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UConn
—UConn $2.1K—James Madison $1.3K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $2.6K—Kings $36
Spread: Alabama (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt
—Alabama $1.5K—Vanderbilt $983
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—Indiana $2.5K—USC $2
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $2.0K—Clippers $15
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $558Under $418—
Spread: Houston (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
—Colorado $786Houston $23—
Spread: Auburn (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Auburn
—Mississippi State $393—Auburn $373
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $61Trail Blazers $281—
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $22—Under $202
Alabama vs. Vanderbilt
opposite sides · consensus Alabama
—Alabama $62—Vanderbilt $13
Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $12K—Over $1.5K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $11KUnder $7—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $100Trail Blazers $10K—
Spread: Houston (-9.5)
same side · consensus Colorado
——Houston $793Houston $6.8K
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)
same side · consensus Indiana
—Indiana $6.4K—Indiana $911
Spread: UCLA (-7.5)
same side · consensus UCLA
—UCLA $446UCLA $3.2K—
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Texans
—Browns $2.3K—Browns $1.2K
Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5)
same side · consensus Sam Houston
—Kennesaw State $2.2K—Kennesaw State $1.3K
Houston vs. Colorado: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $97—Over $2.8K
Spread: Alabama (-16.5)
same side · consensus Vanderbilt
—Vanderbilt $2.1K—Vanderbilt $542
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Titans
—Jaguars $1.1K—Jaguars $1.3K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.1KUnder $1—
Illinois vs. UCLA
same side · consensus UCLA
—UCLA $1.2K—UCLA $837
Sharks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.7K—Under $5
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $1.1K—Colts $3
Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $6—Over $861
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
same side · consensus South Carolina
—South Carolina $265—South Carolina $546
Houston vs. Colorado
same side · consensus Houston
—Colorado $74—Colorado $731
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $59Clippers $608—
Spread: Houston (-8.5)
same side · consensus Houston
—Houston $483—Houston $164
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $508—Under $138
Spread: BYU (-7.5)
same side · consensus Baylor
—BYU $291—BYU $348