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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788FlaznorpHomeRunHazardwata33-ts
Record (consensus markets)52% (12–11, n=23)72% (1945–745, n=2690)54% (371–318, n=689)no settled market
Consensus PnL$567K$410K$398K—
Tracked asPM monthly #37PM monthly #14PM monthly #8PM monthly #825
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (108 of 214 open)69% (117 of 170 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54%44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%—
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 6% of 362)1% (won 100% of 2)—
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 7)21% (won 43% of 192)32% (won 100% of 62)—
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 100% of 4)11% (won 64% of 103)59% (won 100% of 115)—
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 95% of 239)8% (won 100% of 15)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

29 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788FlaznorpHomeRunHazardwata33-ts
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $1.1KThunder $12K—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $505Under $9.8K—
Rangers vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $71Over $3.2K—
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats
—Auburn Tigers $889Arizona Wildcats $1.3K—
Lindenwood Lions vs. Omaha Mavericks: O/U 154.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $5Under $1.5K—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4KOver $71—
Stanford Cardinal vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels
opposite sides · consensus UNLV Runnin' Rebels
—UNLV Runnin' Rebels $776Stanford Cardinal $2—
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats
—Auburn Tigers $552Arizona Wildcats $156—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $186Trail Blazers $376—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $5Under $499—
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies
—Utah State Aggies $130California-San Diego Tritons $336—
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $366Clippers $40—
UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels
opposite sides · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels
—Saint Mary's Gaels $328UIC Flames $3—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $309Over $10—
Spread: Rockets (-18.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Rockets $186Jazz $9—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $106Trail Blazers $79—
DePaul Blue Demons vs. Northwestern Wildcats: O/U 140.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $9Under $113—
Ball State Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 150.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $36Under $4—
Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 157.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $14Over $12—
Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 158.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $20Over $3—
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $4.6KJazz $25K—
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $1.1KSpurs $25K—
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $1.3KSpurs $16K—
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $608Spurs $15K—
Warriors vs. Spurs
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $8.2KSpurs $3.2K—
Spread: Rockets (-17.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $1.9KJazz $8.7K—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.5KUnder $8.7K—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $789Under $6.0K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K—
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $560Spurs $5.5K—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.4KOver $2.6K—
Rangers vs. Canucks
same side · consensus Rangers
—Rangers $1.5KRangers $3.5K—
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $1.8KJazz $2.7K—
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $505Thunder $3.6K—
Predators vs. Golden Knights
same side · consensus Golden Knights
—Predators $333Predators $3.6K—
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $540Clippers $1.7K—
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 156.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $153Under $2.0K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $169Falcons $1.2K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1K—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $498Kings $44—
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $220Clippers $185—
Spread: San Diego Toreros (-14.5)
same side · consensus Chicago State Cougars
—Chicago State Cougars $2Chicago State Cougars $382—
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-15.5)
same side · consensus Seton Hall Pirates
—Alabama Crimson Tide $204Alabama Crimson Tide $114—
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $4Warriors $173—
Houston vs. Colorado
same side · consensus Houston
—Colorado $20Colorado $101—
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-17.5)
same side · consensus Seton Hall Pirates
—Alabama Crimson Tide $13Alabama Crimson Tide $41—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1Over $35—
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Warriors $17Warriors $1—