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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
etthhhhFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)100% (1–0, n=1)71% (2619–1078, n=3697)48% (600–648, n=1248)
Consensus PnL$15K$482K$512K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #779PM monthly #11PM monthly #18
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position52% (99 of 189 open)48% (48 of 99 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174—
Settled positions, side won—44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 409)6% (won 100% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 222)36% (won 100% of 128)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 115)50% (won 100% of 175)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 271)8% (won 100% of 28)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

23 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketetthhhhFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Nets vs. Grizzlies
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $7.4KGrizzlies $33K
Kobe: Maxim Zhukov vs Takuya Kumasaka
opposite sides · consensus Takuya Kumasaka
—Takuya Kumasaka $24KMaxim Zhukov $13
Sabres vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
—Sabres $206Stars $9.3K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $4.7KTimberwolves $3.1K
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $730Nets $6.0K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Heat $1.1KPistons $5.2K
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
—Arkansas $1.1KSouth Carolina $3.0K
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $412Nets $3.4K
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.2KUnder $718
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.1KUnder $651
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.0KOver $447
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 239.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.2KUnder $63
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $1.1KTimberwolves $11
Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $412Nets $470
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $752Over $7
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $421Pistons $2
UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 160.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2Over $308
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $54Nets $247
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $82Nets $12
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $86Under $3
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Timberwolves $15Bulls $12
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5.1KOver $26K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $646Over $24K
Utah vs. Arizona
same side · consensus Utah
—Arizona $23Arizona $21K
UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Uroš Medic
—Kevin Holland $33Kevin Holland $17K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $2.2KTimberwolves $14K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $2.9KOver $12K
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.9KOver $8.7K
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
—Pistons $1.4KPistons $9.8K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $2.2KHeat $8.2K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $2.0KOver $7.2K
WTA Finals, Final Stage (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Errani/Paolini
same side · consensus Errani/Paolini
—Errani/Paolini $2.2KErrani/Paolini $151
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 233.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.7KOver $185
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $1.1KGrizzlies $291
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.2KOver $5
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $573Over $390
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $754Heat $9
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $357Under $11
Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Renegades
same side · consensus Melbourne Renegades
—Melbourne Renegades $306Melbourne Renegades $39
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $301Under $7
Sydney: Hayden Jones vs Naoki Nakagawa
same side · consensus Naoki Nakagawa
—Naoki Nakagawa $280Naoki Nakagawa $5
Spread: Grizzlies (-10.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $114Nets $16
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $79Under $9
Baylor vs. BYU
same side · consensus BYU
—Baylor $17Baylor $43