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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
etthhhhfantasy7788Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)100% (1–0, n=1)58% (21–15, n=36)71% (2657–1095, n=3752)48% (617–662, n=1279)
Consensus PnL$15K$886K$502K$549K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #779PM monthly #19PM monthly #11PM monthly #18
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position55% (100 of 183 open)58% (60 of 104 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——College Basketball −4 pts, n=174—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 5% of 409)6% (won 100% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢—53% (won 100% of 9)22% (won 41% of 222)36% (won 100% of 128)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 6)11% (won 64% of 115)50% (won 100% of 175)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 94% of 271)8% (won 100% of 28)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketetthhhhfantasy7788Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
——Arizona $23Utah $25K
Sabres vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
——Sabres $188Stars $13K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Bulls $6.5KTimberwolves $560
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $409Nets $5.3K
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
——Grizzlies $730Nets $4.7K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Bulls $4.6KTimberwolves $409
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
——Heat $1.0KPistons $3.2K
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
——Arkansas $2.2KSouth Carolina $1.7K
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.2KUnder $108
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.1KOver $339
Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $443Nets $900
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $853Under $2
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $785Over $9
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 245.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $447Under $258
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $423Pistons $1
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $128Under $2
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
——Grizzlies $75Nets $49
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $54Nets $37
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
——Timberwolves $14Bulls $18
Nets vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $8.2KGrizzlies $38K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $5.0KOver $28K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $657Over $25K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $2.9KOver $16K
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.9KOver $7.8K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Heat $2.2KHeat $8.9K
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
——Mertens/Zhang $1.2KMertens/Zhang $9.3K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $2.1KOver $7.7K
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 233.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.0KOver $201
WTA Finals, Final Stage (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Errani/Paolini
same side · consensus Errani/Paolini
——Errani/Paolini $2.1KErrani/Paolini $209
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
——Texas Tech $738Texas Tech $865
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $1.1KGrizzlies $348
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.1KOver $9
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $578Over $433
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $879Under $12
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Heat $710Heat $11
Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Renegades
same side · consensus Sydney Sixers
——Melbourne Renegades $261Melbourne Renegades $43
Sydney: Hayden Jones vs Naoki Nakagawa
same side · consensus Naoki Nakagawa
——Naoki Nakagawa $287Naoki Nakagawa $5
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $208Under $5
Spread: Grizzlies (-10.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Nets $68Nets $10