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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
etthhhhFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
Record (consensus markets)100% (1–0, n=1)71% (2657–1095, n=3752)48% (617–662, n=1279)83% (24–5, n=29)
Consensus PnL$15K$502K$549K$328K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #779PM monthly #11PM monthly #18PM monthly #114
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position55% (100 of 183 open)57% (59 of 103 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 409)6% (won 100% of 20)4% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 222)36% (won 100% of 128)13% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 115)50% (won 100% of 175)21% (won 80% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 271)8% (won 100% of 28)63% (won 100% of 15)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketetthhhhFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
—Arizona $23Utah $25K—
Sabres vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
—Sabres $188Stars $13K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $6.5KTimberwolves $560—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $409Nets $5.3K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $730Nets $4.7K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $4.6KTimberwolves $409—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Heat $1.0KPistons $3.2K—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
—Arkansas $2.2KSouth Carolina $1.7K—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.2KUnder $108—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.1KOver $339—
Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $443Nets $900—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $853Under $2—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $785Over $9—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 245.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $447Under $258—
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $423Pistons $1—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $128Under $2—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $75Nets $49—
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $54Nets $37—
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Timberwolves $14Bulls $18—
Nets vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $8.2KGrizzlies $38K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5.0KOver $28K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $657Over $25K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.9KOver $16K—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.9KOver $7.8K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $2.2KHeat $8.9K—
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
—Mertens/Zhang $1.2KMertens/Zhang $9.3K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $2.1KOver $7.7K—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 233.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.0KOver $201—
WTA Finals, Final Stage (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Errani/Paolini
same side · consensus Errani/Paolini
—Errani/Paolini $2.1KErrani/Paolini $209—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $738Texas Tech $865—
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $1.1KGrizzlies $348—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.1KOver $9—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $578Over $433—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $849Under $12—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $710Heat $11—
Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Renegades
same side · consensus Sydney Sixers
—Melbourne Renegades $261Melbourne Renegades $43—
Sydney: Hayden Jones vs Naoki Nakagawa
same side · consensus Naoki Nakagawa
—Naoki Nakagawa $287Naoki Nakagawa $5—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $208Under $5—
Spread: Grizzlies (-10.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $68Nets $10—