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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188etthhhhFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)100% (1–0, n=1)71% (2657–1095, n=3752)48% (617–662, n=1279)
Consensus PnL$856K$15K$502K$549K
Tracked asPM monthly #24was PM monthly #779PM monthly #11PM monthly #18
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)no open consensus position54% (97 of 178 open)59% (57 of 96 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic——College Basketball −4 pts, n=174—
Settled positions, side won100% of 12 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%—44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢0%—40% (won 5% of 409)6% (won 100% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 100% of 5)—22% (won 41% of 222)36% (won 100% of 128)
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 100% of 7)—11% (won 64% of 115)50% (won 100% of 175)
Entries 70¢ and up0%—27% (won 94% of 271)8% (won 100% of 28)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188etthhhhFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Nets vs. Grizzlies
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Nets $3.4K—Nets $641Grizzlies $38K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Pistons $19K—Heat $2.2KHeat $9.1K
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
——Arizona $23Utah $25K
Sabres vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
——Sabres $142Stars $13K
Pistons vs. Heat
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $1.1KPistons $10K
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $409Nets $5.3K
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
——Grizzlies $731Nets $4.7K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Bulls $4.6KTimberwolves $409
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
——Heat $1.1KPistons $3.2K
Flames vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $4.2K—Flames $33—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
——Arkansas $2.2KSouth Carolina $1.7K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.1KUnder $564
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.2KUnder $108
Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $443Nets $1.1K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KOver $339
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $836Over $9
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 245.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $301Under $258
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $422Pistons $1
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $54Nets $81
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
——Grizzlies $82Nets $10
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
——Timberwolves $15Bulls $18
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.9KOver $7.8K
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
——Mertens/Zhang $1.2KMertens/Zhang $9.3K
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 233.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $2.8KOver $201
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 241.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.4KOver $184
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
——Texas Tech $738Texas Tech $865
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $1.1KGrizzlies $348
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.2KOver $9
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $721Over $433
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $950Under $12
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Heat $781Heat $11
Spread: Heat (-7.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Heat $709Heat $19
Sydney: Hayden Jones vs Naoki Nakagawa
same side · consensus Naoki Nakagawa
——Naoki Nakagawa $287Naoki Nakagawa $119
Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Renegades
same side · consensus Sydney Sixers
——Melbourne Renegades $261Melbourne Renegades $43
Spread: Grizzlies (-10.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Nets $155Nets $22