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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| etthhhh | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 71% (2657–1095, n=3752) | 48% (617–662, n=1279) | 53% (472–417, n=889) |
| Consensus PnL | $15K | $502K | $549K | $399K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #779 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #129 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 54% (99 of 183 open) | 58% (60 of 104 open) | 50% (68 of 135 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 6% (won 100% of 20) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 36% (won 100% of 128) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 175) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 8% (won 100% of 28) | 20% (won 98% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
43 on the same side, 44 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | etthhhh | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabres vs. Stars opposite sides · consensus Stars | — | Sabres $188 | Stars $13K | Stars $137K |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Utah | — | Arizona $23 | Utah $25K | Utah $17K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Bulls $6.5K | Timberwolves $560 | Bulls $32K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $5.0K | Over $28K | Under $1.2K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $657 | Over $25K | Under $37 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.9K | Over $16K | Under $26 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $730 | Nets $4.7K | Nets $6.6K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $2.1K | Over $7.7K | Under $140 |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $423 | Pistons $1 | Heat $7.5K |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Bulls $4.6K | Timberwolves $409 | Bulls $1.8K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $409 | Nets $5.3K | Nets $134 |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas opposite sides · consensus South Carolina | — | Arkansas $2.2K | South Carolina $1.7K | Arkansas $1.8K |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Heat $1.0K | Pistons $3.2K | Heat $1.3K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $853 | Under $2 | Under $986 |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.1K | Over $339 | Over $121 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $75 | Nets $49 | Nets $105 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $8.2K | Grizzlies $38K | Grizzlies $76K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $1.1K | Grizzlies $348 | Grizzlies $36K |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $2.2K | Heat $8.9K | Heat $14K |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Texas Tech | — | Texas Tech $738 | Texas Tech $865 | Texas Tech $6.3K |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $710 | Heat $11 | Heat $571 |
| UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison | — | — | Kayla Harrison $9.4K | Amanda Nunes $5.0K |
| Spread: Utah (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | — | — | Utah $11K | Arizona $2.1K |
| Spread: Ducks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Islanders | — | — | Islanders $11K | Ducks $573 |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | — | Virginia Tech $3.1K | Stanford $4.3K |
| Spread: Wyoming (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Wyoming | — | — | Wyoming $100 | UTEP $6.9K |
| Spread: New Mexico (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | — | New Mexico $5.5K | UNLV $224 |
| Spread: Louisville (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Louisville | — | — | Louisville $170 | North Carolina $4.2K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $2.9K | — | Nets $984 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $1.7K | — | Nets $1.2K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $211 | — | Over $2.4K |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.2K | Under $108 | — |
| Purdue vs. Iowa opposite sides · consensus Iowa | — | — | Purdue $2 | Iowa $1.9K |
| Islanders vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Islanders | — | — | Islanders $291 | Ducks $1.3K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.4K | — | Over $70 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $443 | Nets $900 | — |
| Spread: Bulls (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $1.2K | — | Timberwolves $4 |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $785 | Over $9 | — |
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | — | Ole Miss $260 | — | Oklahoma $512 |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 245.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $509 | Under $258 | — |
| Spread: Kings (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Flames | — | Kings $44 | — | Flames $156 |
| Spread: LSU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas | — | — | LSU $30 | Texas $145 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | — | — | Timberwolves $11 | Bulls $137 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $128 | Under $2 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $54 | Nets $37 | — |
| Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2 | — | Over $85 |
| Spread: Sharks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Sharks | — | Utah $50 | — | Sharks $22 |
| Spread: Pistons (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $33 | — | Pistons $17 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | — | Timberwolves $14 | Bulls $18 | — |
| UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card) same side · consensus Kevin Holland | — | — | Kevin Holland $30K | Kevin Holland $11K |