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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
bbcvvcbvFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)86% (18–3, n=21)71% (2531–1028, n=3559)48% (558–608, n=1166)55% (433–356, n=789)
Consensus PnL$23K$501K$515K$365K
Tracked asPM monthly #854PM monthly #13PM monthly #18PM monthly #137
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)47% (82 of 174 open)60% (81 of 135 open)56% (104 of 186 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 409)6% (won 100% of 20)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 222)36% (won 100% of 128)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 115)50% (won 100% of 175)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 271)8% (won 100% of 28)20% (won 98% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

33 on the same side, 46 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbbcvvcbvFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
—Florida $3.2KKentucky $8.8KFlorida $7.3K
Will United States win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $32No $60Yes $7.3K
Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3No $3.0KYes $34
Jets vs. Blackhawks
opposite sides · consensus Blackhawks
—Blackhawks $121Blackhawks $1.8KJets $8
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Providence Friars
opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
—Providence Friars $125Colorado Buffaloes $3Colorado Buffaloes $492
Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D
same side · consensus Froglings
—1win $101win $8341win $107
Washington vs. Michigan State
opposite sides · consensus Washington
——Michigan State $4.3KWashington $80K
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $50Mavericks $38K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Timberwolves $18KBulls $17K
USC vs. Indiana
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—USC $309Indiana $22K—
Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $22KUnder $118
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $310—Nets $21K
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $1.5K—Nets $18K
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
——Panthers $19KBlues $199
UFC 334: Macy Chiasson vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Early Prelims)
opposite sides · consensus Bia Mesquita
——Bia Mesquita $13KMacy Chiasson $138
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $12KUnder $434
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $155Nets $11K—
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
——Wild $10KBruins $6
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Pelicans $9.0KNuggets $565
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Stanford
——Virginia Tech $4.6KStanford $4.4K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
——Pistons $5.7KHeat $782
Spread: Indiana (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
——USC $4.5KIndiana $1.1K
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
——Maple Leafs $5.5KOilers $20
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flyers
——Flyers $4.9KBlue Jackets $348
Haiti vs. United States: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2—Over $4.5K
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
——Avalanche $2.4KCanadiens $1.6K
UFC 334: Jared Gordon vs. Melquizael Costa (Lightweight, Early Prelims)
opposite sides · consensus Melquizael Costa
——Melquizael Costa $3.8KJared Gordon $133
California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.5KOver $1
Jacksonville State vs. Western Kentucky: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $584Under $2.4K
Games Total: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $8Over $2.8K
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison
——Kayla Harrison $2.4KAmanda Nunes $376
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Blues
——Blues $2.0KPanthers $622
Spread: Kentucky (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
——Florida $1.1KKentucky $925
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $1.9K—Nuggets $98
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $1.7K—Mavericks $145
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $75Mavericks $1.7K—
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $881Under $931
Oregon State vs. Boise State
opposite sides · consensus Oregon State
——Boise State $620Oregon State $934
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $692Over $794
Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers
—Saint Joseph's Hawks $90Penn Quakers $880—
UFC 334: Stephen Thompson vs. Charles Radtke (Welterweight, Prelims)
opposite sides · consensus Stephen Thompson
——Stephen Thompson $574Charles Radtke $291
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
—Ole Miss $260—Oklahoma $507
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $94—Timberwolves $545
Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty
opposite sides · consensus Liberty
——Liberty $587Middle Tennessee $7
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $2—Nets $579
Mirassol FC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $167Over $259—
Auburn vs. Mississippi State
opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State
——Mississippi State $17Auburn $56
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $185Grizzlies $31K
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
same side · consensus Indiana
——USC $28KUSC $3
Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5)
same side · consensus Georgia State
——Georgia State $25KGeorgia State $843