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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
asdkd938e9ddjdgoogleplayHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (6–6, n=12)54% (371–318, n=689)54% (345–290, n=635)
Consensus PnL—$423K$398K$403K
Tracked asPM monthly #913PM monthly #20PM monthly #8PM monthly #105
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)70% (121 of 174 open)54% (67 of 124 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢—0%1% (won 100% of 2)14% (won 33% of 73)
Entries 30–50¢—17% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 100% of 62)24% (won 56% of 125)
Entries 50–70¢—83% (won 100% of 5)59% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 69% of 226)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%8% (won 100% of 15)18% (won 98% of 96)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

36 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketasdkd938e9ddjdgoogleplayHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Rockets $50KJazz $25KRockets $191
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
——Colorado $2.8KHouston $8.6K
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $6.2KOver $1.2K
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.5KOver $3.5K
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $4.4KUnder $1.1K
Houston vs. Colorado: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $5.5KOver $30
Trail Blazers vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
——Trail Blazers $2.4KKings $3.0K
Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.2KUnder $2.4K
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
——Thunder $3.6KClippers $12
Predators vs. Golden Knights
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
——Predators $3.6KGolden Knights $79
Rangers vs. Canucks
opposite sides · consensus Rangers
——Rangers $3.5KCanucks $29
Spread: James Madison (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UConn
——UConn $2.1KJames Madison $1.3K
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.9KOver $54
Spread: Alabama (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt
——Alabama $1.6KVanderbilt $967
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
——Indiana $2.5KUSC $2
Spread: UCLA (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus UCLA
——Illinois $434UCLA $1.5K
California-San Diego Tritons vs. Utah State Aggies
opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies
——Utah State Aggies $791California-San Diego Tritons $52
Spread: Auburn (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Auburn
——Mississippi State $393Auburn $373
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
——Warriors $1Spurs $259
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $23Under $200
Alabama vs. Vanderbilt
opposite sides · consensus Alabama
——Alabama $62Vanderbilt $13
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Thunder $22KThunder $6.5K
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $25KSpurs $2.1K
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $16KSpurs $655
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $5.5KSpurs $9.6K
Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $12KOver $1.5K
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Thunder $12KThunder $46
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $1.7KClippers $9.8K
Warriors vs. Spurs
same side · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $3.2KSpurs $8.3K
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $9.0KUnder $1.8K
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $9.9KOver $876
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $9.8KUnder $116
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)
same side · consensus Indiana
——Indiana $6.4KIndiana $911
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Texans
——Browns $2.4KBrowns $1.2K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.2KOver $57
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $2.1KOver $1.2K
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Kings
——Kings $499Kings $2.4K
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $2.7KJazz $51
Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5)
same side · consensus Sam Houston
——Kennesaw State $2.2KKennesaw State $580
Spread: Alabama (-16.5)
same side · consensus Vanderbilt
——Vanderbilt $2.1KVanderbilt $542
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Titans
——Jaguars $1.1KJaguars $1.3K
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Kings
——Trail Blazers $376Trail Blazers $1.6K
Illinois vs. UCLA
same side · consensus UCLA
——UCLA $1.1KUCLA $775
Houston vs. Colorado: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $55Over $1.6K
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KUnder $1
Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $810Over $344
Houston vs. Colorado
same side · consensus Houston
——Colorado $101Colorado $1.0K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
——Colts $1.1KColts $3
Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $6Over $861
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
same side · consensus South Carolina
——South Carolina $265South Carolina $546