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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
asdkd938e9ddjdHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market54% (371–318, n=689)48% (446–481, n=927)54% (345–290, n=635)
Consensus PnL—$398K$521K$403K
Tracked asPM monthly #913PM monthly #8PM monthly #19PM monthly #105
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position69% (117 of 170 open)52% (42 of 81 open)55% (64 of 117 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 19)14% (won 33% of 73)
Entries 30–50¢—32% (won 100% of 62)37% (won 100% of 110)24% (won 56% of 125)
Entries 50–70¢—59% (won 100% of 115)50% (won 100% of 150)43% (won 69% of 226)
Entries 70¢ and up—8% (won 100% of 15)7% (won 100% of 22)18% (won 98% of 96)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

42 on the same side, 36 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketasdkd938e9ddjdHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Rangers vs. Canucks
opposite sides · consensus Rangers
—Rangers $3.5KRangers $39KCanucks $29
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $499Trail Blazers $29KKings $2.4K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $9.8KOver $19KUnder $116
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $22KClippers $39Thunder $6.5K
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $376Kings $22KTrail Blazers $1.6K
Spread: UCLA (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus UCLA
—Illinois $434UCLA $21KUCLA $1.5K
Predators vs. Golden Knights
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
—Predators $3.6KGolden Knights $11KGolden Knights $79
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
—Colorado $2.8KColorado $699Houston $9.3K
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $12KClippers $351Thunder $52
Warriors vs. Spurs
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $3.2KWarriors $241Spurs $8.3K
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6.0KOver $2Over $1.2K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $2.4KTrail Blazers $478Kings $1.7K
Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $810Under $847Over $344
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KOver $3Under $1
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $8.7KUnder $51KUnder $1.8K
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $25KSpurs $24KSpurs $2.1K
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $5.5KSpurs $746Spurs $9.6K
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $1.7KClippers $893Clippers $8.9K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $71Over $5.4KOver $305
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.2KOver $18Over $57
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $2.7KJazz $10Jazz $51
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $25K—Rockets $191
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $15KWarriors $2—
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4.4K—Under $1.1K
Houston vs. Colorado: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $5.5K—Over $30
Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.2K—Under $2.4K
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $3.6K—Clippers $12
Spread: James Madison (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UConn
—UConn $2.1K—James Madison $1.3K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $4Over $3.2K
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.9K—Over $54
Spread: Alabama (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt
—Alabama $1.6K—Vanderbilt $967
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—Indiana $2.5K—USC $2
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Rockets $12Jazz $995—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $391Under $589—
California-San Diego Tritons vs. Utah State Aggies
opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies
—Utah State Aggies $791—California-San Diego Tritons $52
Spread: Auburn (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Auburn
—Mississippi State $393—Auburn $373
Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers
opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats
—Arizona Wildcats $429Auburn Tigers $20—
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
——Jazz $372Rockets $24
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $119Trail Blazers $214—
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Warriors $1—Spurs $259
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Maryland Terrapins
—Maryland Terrapins $42Virginia Cavaliers $190—
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $23—Under $200
Alabama vs. Vanderbilt
opposite sides · consensus Alabama
—Alabama $62—Vanderbilt $13
Jazz vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
——Rockets $88KRockets $53K
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canucks
——Rangers $35KRangers $1.2K
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $16K—Spurs $661
Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $12K—Over $1.5K
Spread: Rockets (-17.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $8.7KJazz $1.1K—
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)
same side · consensus Indiana
—Indiana $6.4K—Indiana $911
Spread: UCLA (-7.5)
same side · consensus UCLA
—UCLA $620UCLA $3.6K—