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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
asdkd938e9ddjdFlaznorpgoogleplaykeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market72% (1945–745, n=2690)50% (6–6, n=12)48% (446–481, n=927)
Consensus PnL—$410K$423K$521K
Tracked asPM monthly #913PM monthly #14PM monthly #20PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position54% (128 of 238 open)0% (0 of 1 open)57% (49 of 86 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 6% of 362)0%6% (won 100% of 19)
Entries 30–50¢—21% (won 43% of 192)17% (won 100% of 1)37% (won 100% of 110)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 103)83% (won 100% of 5)50% (won 100% of 150)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 95% of 239)0%7% (won 100% of 22)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

37 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketasdkd938e9ddjdFlaznorpgoogleplaykeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $4.5KRockets $50K—
Predators vs. Golden Knights
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
—Predators $333—Golden Knights $11K
Warriors vs. Spurs
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $8.2K—Warriors $241
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $552—Over $4.9K
Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers
opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats
—Arizona Wildcats $5.0K—Auburn Tigers $14
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $452—Over $2.2K
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $661—Under $1.3K
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $495—Rockets $1.4K
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $358—Clippers $975
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $245—Over $996
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
opposite sides · consensus Alabama Crimson Tide
—Alabama Crimson Tide $610—Seton Hall Pirates $210
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $798—Over $2
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $602—Warriors $2
UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels
opposite sides · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels
—Saint Mary's Gaels $328—UIC Flames $2
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $94—Over $18
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $43—Trail Blazers $18
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $6—Under $23
Jazz vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $3.1K—Rockets $88K
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.5K—Under $51K
Rangers vs. Canucks
same side · consensus Rangers
—Rangers $1.5K—Rangers $39K
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canucks
—Rangers $221—Rangers $35K
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $1.1K—Spurs $24K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $505—Over $22K
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $103—Kings $22K
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $841—Under $19K
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $11K
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.0K—Over $1.7K
Spread: Rockets (-17.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $1.9K—Jazz $1.1K
Spread: Rockets (-13.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $2.3K—Jazz $360
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.4K—Over $5
Thunder vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Thunder
—Clippers $1.7K—Clippers $251
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $1.7K—Jazz $10
Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren
same side · consensus Sebastian Gorzny
—Sebastian Gorzny $782—Sebastian Gorzny $679
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $717—Under $714
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $560—Spurs $746
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $409—Jazz $823
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $1.2K—Clippers $17
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 242.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.1K—Under $22
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $275—Over $488
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
—Jazz $279—Jazz $297
W50 Yokohama: Kanon Sawashiro vs Heather Watson
same side · consensus Heather Watson
—Kanon Sawashiro $516—Kanon Sawashiro $57
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
—Jazz $421—Jazz $59
Rangers vs. Canucks: O/U 8.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $25—Over $415
Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $384—Kings $16
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Warriors $139—Warriors $134
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $220—Clippers $16
Stanford Cardinal vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels
same side · consensus UNLV Runnin' Rebels
—UNLV Runnin' Rebels $212—UNLV Runnin' Rebels $7
Spread: Spurs (-28.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Spurs $138—Spurs $19
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $121—Under $4
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $5—Warriors $95