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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| appleperson | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 54% (371–318, n=689) | 54% (345–290, n=635) | 59% (40–28, n=68) |
| Consensus PnL | $89 | $398K | $403K | $532K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #992 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #15 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 70% (117 of 168 open) | 54% (63 of 116 open) | 50% (6 of 12 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2 at avg 68¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% | 100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 14% (won 33% of 73) | 3% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 62) | 24% (won 56% of 125) | 33% (won 100% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 59% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 69% of 226) | 44% (won 100% of 17) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 8% (won 100% of 15) | 18% (won 98% of 96) | 21% (won 100% of 8) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
35 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | appleperson | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $1.7K | Clippers $8.9K | Thunder $8.3K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $3.2K | Spurs $8.3K | Warriors $2.8K |
| Thunder vs. Clippers opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | — | Clippers $488 | Thunder $267K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Gen.G | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $1.1K | Gen.G $93K |
| Spread: Rockets (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $25K | Rockets $191 | — |
| Spread: Houston (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Houston | — | Colorado $2.8K | Houston $9.6K | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $6.0K | Over $1.2K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $4.4K | Under $1.1K | — |
| Houston vs. Colorado: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $5.5K | Over $30 | — |
| Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.2K | Under $2.4K | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $2.4K | Kings $2.1K | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Thunder $3.6K | Clippers $12 | — |
| Predators vs. Golden Knights opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights | — | Predators $3.6K | Golden Knights $79 | — |
| Rangers vs. Canucks opposite sides · consensus Rangers | — | Rangers $3.5K | Canucks $29 | — |
| Spread: James Madison (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus UConn | — | UConn $2.1K | James Madison $1.3K | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.9K | Over $54 | — |
| Spread: Alabama (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt | — | Alabama $1.6K | Vanderbilt $967 | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | — | Indiana $2.5K | USC $2 | — |
| Spread: UCLA (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus UCLA | — | Illinois $434 | UCLA $1.5K | — |
| California-San Diego Tritons vs. Utah State Aggies opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies | — | Utah State Aggies $791 | California-San Diego Tritons $52 | — |
| Spread: Auburn (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Auburn | — | Mississippi State $393 | Auburn $373 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | Warriors $1 | Spurs $259 | — |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $23 | Under $200 | — |
| Alabama vs. Vanderbilt opposite sides · consensus Alabama | — | Alabama $62 | Vanderbilt $13 | — |
| Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | — | — | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $333K | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $209K |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs same side · consensus Team Falcons | — | — | Team Falcons $978 | Team Falcons $136K |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5) same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | — | Gen.G $326 | Gen.G $43K |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | Thunder $22K | Thunder $6.5K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $25K | Spurs $2.1K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-10.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $16K | Spurs $657 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $5.5K | Spurs $9.6K | — |
| Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $12K | Over $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | Thunder $12K | Thunder $49 | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $8.7K | Under $1.8K | — |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $9.8K | Under $116 | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-7.5) same side · consensus Indiana | — | Indiana $6.4K | Indiana $911 | — |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Texans | — | Browns $2.4K | Browns $1.2K | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3.2K | Over $57 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5) same side · consensus Kings | — | Kings $499 | Kings $2.4K | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-16.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $2.7K | Jazz $51 | — |
| Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5) same side · consensus Sam Houston | — | Kennesaw State $2.2K | Kennesaw State $580 | — |
| Spread: Alabama (-16.5) same side · consensus Vanderbilt | — | Vanderbilt $2.1K | Vanderbilt $542 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | — | Jaguars $1.1K | Jaguars $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $376 | Trail Blazers $1.6K | — |
| Illinois vs. UCLA same side · consensus UCLA | — | UCLA $1.1K | UCLA $775 | — |
| Houston vs. Colorado: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $61 | Over $1.8K | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | Under $1 | — |
| Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $810 | Over $344 | — |
| Houston vs. Colorado same side · consensus Houston | — | Colorado $101 | Colorado $1.0K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $1.1K | Colts $3 | — |