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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| appleperson | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 72% (1945–745, n=2690) | 54% (371–318, n=689) | 48% (446–481, n=927) |
| Consensus PnL | $89 | $410K | $398K | $521K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #992 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 50% (109 of 216 open) | 70% (117 of 168 open) | 52% (40 of 77 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=381 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2 at avg 68¢, ROI +36% | 44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1% | 100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 40% (won 6% of 362) | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 6% (won 100% of 19) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 21% (won 43% of 192) | 32% (won 100% of 62) | 37% (won 100% of 110) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 11% (won 64% of 103) | 59% (won 100% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 150) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 27% (won 95% of 239) | 8% (won 100% of 15) | 7% (won 100% of 22) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
45 on the same side, 37 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | appleperson | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Kings $438 | Kings $499 | Trail Blazers $31K |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $505 | Under $9.8K | Over $20K |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Kings $225 | Trail Blazers $376 | Kings $22K |
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $608 | Spurs $15K | Warriors $2 |
| Predators vs. Golden Knights opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights | — | Predators $333 | Predators $3.6K | Golden Knights $11K |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $1.2K | Thunder $12K | Clippers $351 |
| Warriors vs. Spurs opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $8.2K | Spurs $3.2K | Warriors $241 |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $784 | Under $6.0K | Over $2 |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Thunder $362 | Clippers $40 | Clippers $598 |
| UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels opposite sides · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels | — | Saint Mary's Gaels $328 | UIC Flames $3 | UIC Flames $2 |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | Under $8.7K | Under $51K |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $1.1K | Spurs $25K | Spurs $24K |
| Rangers vs. Canucks same side · consensus Rangers | — | Rangers $1.5K | Rangers $3.5K | Rangers $39K |
| Spread: Rockets (-17.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $1.9K | Jazz $8.7K | Jazz $1.1K |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $560 | Spurs $5.5K | Spurs $746 |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $2.4K | Over $2.6K | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rockets (-16.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $1.8K | Jazz $2.7K | Jazz $10 |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $540 | Clippers $1.7K | Clippers $967 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Kings $599 | Kings $44 | Kings $16 |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $220 | Clippers $190 | Clippers $25 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Kings $336 | Kings $3 | Kings $5 |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) same side · consensus Warriors | — | Warriors $4 | Warriors $173 | Warriors $77 |
| Spread: UCLA (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus UCLA | — | — | Illinois $434 | UCLA $21K |
| Rangers vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $71 | Over $3.2K | — |
| Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats | — | Auburn Tigers $889 | Arizona Wildcats $1.3K | — |
| Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren opposite sides · consensus Sebastian Gorzny | — | August Holmgren $1.1K | — | Sebastian Gorzny $630 |
| Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $810 | Under $847 |
| Spread: Rockets (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $214 | — | Rockets $1.4K |
| Lindenwood Lions vs. Omaha Mavericks: O/U 154.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $5 | Under $1.5K | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.2K | Over $3 |
| Spread: Rockets (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | — | Rockets $12 | Jazz $1.0K |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $391 | Under $542 |
| Seton Hall Pirates vs. Alabama Crimson Tide opposite sides · consensus Alabama Crimson Tide | — | Alabama Crimson Tide $703 | — | Seton Hall Pirates $210 |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $801 | — | Under $21 |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $5 | Under $499 | — |
| Spread: Utah State Aggies (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies | — | Utah State Aggies $130 | California-San Diego Tritons $336 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Kings $380 | Trail Blazers $79 | — |
| Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats | — | — | Arizona Wildcats $429 | Auburn Tigers $20 |
| Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats | — | Auburn Tigers $204 | Arizona Wildcats $156 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | — | Kings $119 | Trail Blazers $214 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $278 | Over $10 | — |
| Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Maryland Terrapins | — | — | Maryland Terrapins $42 | Virginia Cavaliers $190 |
| Spread: Rockets (-18.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Rockets $176 | Jazz $9 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Kings $88 | — | Trail Blazers $18 |
| Spread: Rockets (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Rockets $56 | — | Jazz $6 |
| Ball State Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 150.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $36 | Under $4 | — |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $6 | — | Under $23 |
| Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 157.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $14 | Over $12 | — |
| Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 158.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $20 | Over $3 | — |
| Spread: Rangers (-1.5) same side · consensus Canucks | — | Rangers $221 | — | Rangers $35K |