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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | plsgodsaveme | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (594–553, n=1147) | 47% (705–782, n=1487) | 53% (542–483, n=1025) | 33% (2–4, n=6) |
| Consensus PnL | $398K | $825K | $643K | -$1.5K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #15 | PM monthly #98 | was PM monthly #684 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (72 of 103 open) | 61% (54 of 88 open) | 59% (58 of 98 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45% | 77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11% | 80% of 5 at avg 40¢, ROI +21% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 6) | 5% (won 100% of 23) | 12% (won 45% of 89) | 20% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 100) | 34% (won 100% of 159) | 25% (won 71% of 190) | 60% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 189) | 52% (won 100% of 243) | 45% (won 80% of 347) | 20% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 22) | 9% (won 100% of 42) | 18% (won 99% of 142) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
42 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | plsgodsaveme |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks | Oregon Ducks $7.4K | Oregon Ducks $19K | Pepperdine Waves $149K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Spurs $9.3K | Jazz $9.9K | Jazz $650 | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $12K | Over $3.9K | Under $3.1K | — |
| Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $7.2K | Under $4.7K | Over $2.2K | — |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | Hornets $5.7K | Clippers $2.6K | Clippers $5.2K | — |
| Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2.8K | Under $6.6K | Over $692 | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $2.0K | Lakers $5.7K | Lakers $573 | — |
| Spread: Rams (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Rams $1.6K | Cardinals $302 | Rams $10 | — |
| 49ers vs. Cowboys same side · consensus 49ers | 49ers $25K | 49ers $183K | 49ers $101K | — |
| Hornets vs. Clippers same side · consensus Hornets | Hornets $6.1K | Hornets $17K | Hornets $433 | — |
| Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $5.3K | Under $841 | Under $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Rams (-9.5) same side · consensus Rams | Cardinals $5 | Cardinals $36 | Cardinals $1.5K | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | 49ers $10K | — | Cowboys $67K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Mavericks $1.1K | Celtics $28K | — |
| Panthers vs. Stars opposite sides · consensus Stars | Stars $490 | Panthers $25K | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | Knicks $8.6K | Raptors $12K | — |
| Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $8.7K | Over $8.0K | — | — |
| Spread: Hornets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | Hornets $2.4K | Clippers $10K | — | — |
| Spread: France (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Türkiye | — | France $9.6K | Türkiye $31 | — |
| Spread: Croatia (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Croatia | — | Czechia $8.3K | Croatia $132 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | Rockets $273 | Wizards $8.0K | — | — |
| Rams vs. Cardinals opposite sides · consensus Rams | Rams $7.9K | — | Cardinals $189 | — |
| Spread: Seahawks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $41 | Seahawks $7.3K | — |
| Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $3.6K | Under $2.6K | — | — |
| Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $335 | — | Under $4.8K | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $3.3K | 49ers $1.6K | — |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2.6K | Over $2.1K | — |
| Will Italy win on 2026-11-15? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.3K | Yes $1 | — |
| Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 216.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $861 | Under $577 | — | — |
| Missouri Tigers vs. Marquette Golden Eagles opposite sides · consensus Marquette Golden Eagles | Marquette Golden Eagles $57 | Missouri Tigers $1.1K | — | — |
| Will Belgium vs. Italy end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $850 | Yes $5 | — |
| High Point Panthers vs. Saint Louis Billikens opposite sides · consensus High Point Panthers | High Point Panthers $309 | Saint Louis Billikens $543 | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $70 | — | Spurs $190 | — |
| Baylor Bears vs. Texas Longhorns opposite sides · consensus Texas Longhorns | Baylor Bears $2 | Texas Longhorns $4 | — | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $20K | Seahawks $43K | — | — |
| Spurs vs. Jazz same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $18K | Spurs $36K | — | — |
| 49ers vs. Cowboys: O/U 56.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $33K | Over $2.6K | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $13K | — | Under $18K | — |
| Spain vs. England: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $22K | Over $161 | — |
| Steelers vs. Bengals same side · consensus Bengals | — | Steelers $19K | Steelers $317 | — |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 213.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $503 | — | Over $18K | — |
| Will England win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $4.0K | Yes $12K | — |
| Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $12K | Over $1.7K | — |
| France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $10K | Over $339 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-2.5) same side · consensus Suns | Suns $4.1K | Suns $6.0K | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $8.2K | — | Under $307 | — |
| Will France win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $3.0K | Yes $4.7K | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-6.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $5.1K | — | Cowboys $1.8K | — |
| Mavericks vs. Celtics same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $5.7K | — | Celtics $827 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $4.5K | — | Celtics $1.2K | — |