Known as acm24 since Nov 15 2026 · Previously known as: acm24 (Nov 12 – Nov 15 2026)
Consensus PnL -$1.5K · win rate 33% (2–4, n=6) · was PM monthly #684 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-1.5K
Record
2W / 4L
Win Rate
33.0%
of 6 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1269
Source
PM monthly #684
Record (90 d)
2/6 · 33%
Trades
10
Markets
7
Volume
$2.9K
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Specialties
5 settled consensus markets · held side won 80% at an average entry of 40¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where acm24's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 20%(won 0% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 60%(won 100% of 3)
- 50–70¢: 20%(won 100% of 1)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.