← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MegaMan-.- | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (471–414, n=885) | 48% (551–602, n=1153) | 54% (19–16, n=35) | 58% (11–8, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $358K | $482K | $2.4K | $386K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #137 | was PM monthly #70 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (146 of 234 open) | 62% (82 of 132 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 100% of 23 at avg 56¢, ROI +44% | 92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 6% (won 100% of 20) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 8% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 36% (won 100% of 128) | 26% (won 100% of 6) | 58% (won 100% of 7) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 50% (won 100% of 175) | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 33% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 8% (won 100% of 28) | 13% (won 100% of 3) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
31 on the same side, 33 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MegaMan-.- | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | Gen.G $6.2K | Bilibili Gaming $23K | Gen.G $6.2K |
| Tennessee vs. Texas A&M opposite sides · consensus Tennessee | Texas A&M $7.5K | Tennessee $36K | — | — |
| Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Georgia State | Georgia Southern $57 | Georgia State $25K | — | — |
| Auburn vs. Mississippi State: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $7.4K | Under $11K | — | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | Indiana $2.8K | USC $15K | — | — |
| Spread: LSU (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus LSU | LSU $336 | Texas $15K | — | — |
| Devils vs. Capitals opposite sides · consensus Devils | Capitals $1.5K | Devils $12K | — | — |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern | Georgia Southern $5.0K | Georgia State $7.8K | — | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $5.8K | Over $5.3K | — | — |
| Wild vs. Bruins opposite sides · consensus Wild | Bruins $544 | Wild $9.9K | — | — |
| Flyers vs. Blue Jackets opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets | Blue Jackets $826 | Flyers $8.8K | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $1.3K | Timberwolves $7.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | Indiana $5.8K | USC $2.5K | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $8.1K | Over $124 | — | — |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa opposite sides · consensus Tulsa | Florida Atlantic $1.5K | Tulsa $6.4K | — | — |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | Stanford $831 | Virginia Tech $6.4K | — | — |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.9K | Over $2.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $3.5K | Mavericks $1.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Gonzaga Bulldogs | LSU Tigers $1.9K | Gonzaga Bulldogs $2.6K | — | — |
| USC vs. Indiana: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2 | Under $3.3K | — | — |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Canadiens | Canadiens $26 | Avalanche $2.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Washington (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Washington | Michigan State $2 | Washington $2.3K | — | — |
| Islanders vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Islanders | Ducks $1.8K | Islanders $203 | — | — |
| Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan Chippewas | Northern Kentucky Norse $6 | Central Michigan Chippewas $1.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Kentucky (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida | Florida $18 | Kentucky $1.2K | — | — |
| Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $984 | Over $32 | — | — |
| Spread: Oregon (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Michigan | Oregon $108 | Michigan $783 | — | — |
| Tulane vs. Rice opposite sides · consensus Rice | Rice $305 | Tulane $584 | — | — |
| Spread: Tennessee (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Tennessee | Texas A&M $360 | Tennessee $502 | — | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $124 | Under $685 | — | — |
| Tennessee vs. Texas A&M: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13 | Over $440 | — | — |
| Auburn vs. Mississippi State opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State | Auburn $4 | Mississippi State $86 | — | — |
| Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Golden Bears opposite sides · consensus California Golden Bears | Utah Tech Trailblazers $46 | California Golden Bears $6 | — | — |
| Kansas vs. West Virginia same side · consensus Kansas | Kansas $13K | Kansas $60K | — | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner same side · consensus Gen.G | — | Gen.G $9.1K | Gen.G $45K | — |
| Nevada vs. Northern Illinois same side · consensus Nevada | Nevada $2.9K | Nevada $47K | — | — |
| Spread: Texas State (-9.5) same side · consensus Texas State | Texas State $15K | Texas State $23K | — | — |
| Washington vs. Michigan State same side · consensus Washington | Michigan State $24K | Michigan State $2.9K | — | — |
| Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $3.5K | Over $22K | — | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $9.2K | Over $15K | — | — |
| Spread: Missouri State (-1.5) same side · consensus New Mexico State | New Mexico State $2.2K | New Mexico State $12K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $12K | Grizzlies $181 | — | — |
| Spread: Lightning (-1.5) same side · consensus Red Wings | Lightning $765 | Lightning $9.9K | — | — |
| California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $4.4K | Under $3.5K | — | — |
| Spread: New Mexico (-16.5) same side · consensus New Mexico | New Mexico $704 | New Mexico $6.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Louisiana Tech (-17.5) same side · consensus Southern Miss | Southern Miss $40 | Southern Miss $7.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) same side · consensus Stanford | Virginia Tech $1.5K | Virginia Tech $4.7K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $252 | Pistons $5.7K | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $685 | Over $3.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Georgia Southern (-7.5) same side · consensus Georgia State | Georgia State $2.9K | Georgia State $993 | — | — |