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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99paintscrel
Record (consensus markets)71% (2531–1028, n=3559)48% (558–608, n=1166)55% (433–356, n=789)0% (0–3, n=3)
Consensus PnL$501K$515K$365K-$4.6K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #18PM monthly #137was PM monthly #954
Sides with the consensus48% (84 of 174 open)60% (81 of 135 open)57% (105 of 184 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=174———
Settled positions, side won44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%—
Entries under 30¢40% (won 5% of 409)6% (won 100% of 20)13% (won 40% of 81)—
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 41% of 222)36% (won 100% of 128)24% (won 62% of 144)—
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 115)50% (won 100% of 175)43% (won 74% of 261)—
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 94% of 271)8% (won 100% of 28)20% (won 98% of 119)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

32 on the same side, 47 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99paintscrel
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
Florida $3.1KKentucky $8.8KFlorida $7.2K—
Will United States win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $32No $60Yes $7.3K—
Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3No $3.0KYes $34—
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Providence Friars
opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
Providence Friars $132Colorado Buffaloes $3Colorado Buffaloes $492—
Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D
same side · consensus Froglings
1win $101win $8451win $107—
Washington vs. Michigan State
opposite sides · consensus Washington
—Michigan State $4.3KWashington $86K—
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Cavaliers $50Mavericks $38K——
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $18KBulls $17K—
USC vs. Indiana
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
USC $309Indiana $22K——
Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $22KUnder $118—
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $310—Nets $21K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $1.5K—Nets $18K—
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Panthers $19KBlues $199—
UFC 334: Macy Chiasson vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Early Prelims)
opposite sides · consensus Bia Mesquita
—Bia Mesquita $13KMacy Chiasson $138—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $12KUnder $434—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $155Nets $11K——
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Wild $10KBruins $6—
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $9.0KNuggets $565—
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Stanford
—Virginia Tech $4.6KStanford $4.4K—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $5.7KHeat $782—
Spread: Indiana (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—USC $4.5KIndiana $1.1K—
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
—Maple Leafs $5.5KOilers $20—
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flyers
—Flyers $4.9KBlue Jackets $348—
Haiti vs. United States: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2—Over $4.5K—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
—Bilibili Gaming $174—Gen.G $3.9K
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
—Avalanche $2.4KCanadiens $1.6K—
UFC 334: Jared Gordon vs. Melquizael Costa (Lightweight, Early Prelims)
opposite sides · consensus Melquizael Costa
—Melquizael Costa $3.8KJared Gordon $133—
California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.5KOver $1—
Jacksonville State vs. Western Kentucky: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $584Under $2.4K—
Games Total: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $8Over $2.8K—
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison
—Kayla Harrison $2.4KAmanda Nunes $376—
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Blues
—Blues $2.0KPanthers $622—
Spread: Kentucky (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
—Florida $1.1KKentucky $893—
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
Pelicans $1.9K—Nuggets $105—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Cavaliers $1.7K—Mavericks $145—
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Cavaliers $75Mavericks $1.7K——
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $881Under $931—
Oregon State vs. Boise State
opposite sides · consensus Oregon State
—Boise State $620Oregon State $934—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $692Over $794—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $16—Under $1.4K—
Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers
Saint Joseph's Hawks $90Penn Quakers $880——
UFC 334: Stephen Thompson vs. Charles Radtke (Welterweight, Prelims)
opposite sides · consensus Stephen Thompson
—Stephen Thompson $574Charles Radtke $291—
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
Ole Miss $260—Oklahoma $507—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Bulls $94—Timberwolves $545—
Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty
opposite sides · consensus Liberty
—Liberty $587Middle Tennessee $7—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $2—Nets $579—
Mirassol FC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $167Over $259——
Auburn vs. Mississippi State
opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State
—Mississippi State $17Auburn $56—
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $185Grizzlies $31K—
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
same side · consensus Indiana
—USC $28KUSC $3—