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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MD14 | Tsamam | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (2619–1078, n=3697) | 48% (600–648, n=1248) | 81% (22–5, n=27) | 50% (1–1, n=2) |
| Consensus PnL | $482K | $512K | $328K | $4.9K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #114 | PM monthly #811 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (131 of 244 open) | 53% (64 of 121 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 38% (3 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 6% (won 100% of 20) | 4% (won 0% of 1) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 36% (won 100% of 128) | 13% (won 100% of 3) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 175) | 21% (won 80% of 5) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 8% (won 100% of 28) | 63% (won 100% of 15) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
32 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MD14 | Tsamam |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $233 | Cavaliers $133K | Cavaliers $1.2K | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 257.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $290 | — | Under $48K | — |
| Spread: Senators (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Penguins | Senators $136 | Penguins $32K | — | — |
| Devils vs. Capitals opposite sides · consensus Devils | Capitals $75 | Devils $16K | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $155 | Mavericks $11K | — | — |
| Sabres vs. Stars opposite sides · consensus Stars | Sabres $206 | Stars $9.3K | — | — |
| UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Bilal Hasan | Luis Gurule $90 | Bilal Hasan $7.9K | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $4.5K | Timberwolves $3.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $566 | Nets $6.0K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Heat $434 | Pistons $5.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $350 | Nets $3.4K | — | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas opposite sides · consensus South Carolina | Arkansas $1.1K | South Carolina $1.7K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $412 | Nets $1.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $549 | Mavericks $781 | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $404 | Under $581 | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $54 | Nets $731 | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $686 | Mavericks $2 | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $649 | Over $2 | — | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Mavericks $385 | Cavaliers $143 | — | — |
| Spread: Oilers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Maple Leafs | Maple Leafs $205 | Oilers $204 | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | Bulls $385 | Timberwolves $11 | — | — |
| UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 160.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2 | Over $308 | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $5 | Nets $166 | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $132 | Over $7 | — | — |
| Senators vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $93 | Over $8 | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $5 | Under $3 | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $876 | Bulls $63K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $3.3K | Over $26K | — | — |
| Utah vs. Arizona same side · consensus Utah | Arizona $23 | Arizona $21K | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves same side · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $6.9K | Timberwolves $14K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $2.0K | Over $12K | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $4.0K | Over $8.7K | — | — |
| Senators vs. Penguins same side · consensus Senators | Penguins $94 | Penguins $11K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $627 | Heat $7.5K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $835 | Over $5.6K | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $5.6K | Over $413 | — | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $5.8K | Cavaliers $106 | — | — |
| Spread: Devils (-1.5) same side · consensus Capitals | Capitals $43 | Capitals $3.3K | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.7K | Over $233 | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 233.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.8K | Over $185 | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $882 | Grizzlies $291 | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-8.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Mavericks $325 | Mavericks $448 | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $737 | Under $7 | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 245.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $221 | Under $402 | — | — |
| Spread: Canadiens (-1.5) same side · consensus Avalanche | Avalanche $4 | Avalanche $612 | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $608 | Over $6 | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-10.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Nets $441 | Nets $62 | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $497 | Over $5 | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $393 | Heat $9 | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $239 | Under $11 | — | — |