Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorphaveanedgeDOTxyzHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)72% (2002–786, n=2788)no settled market54% (412–350, n=762)48% (473–506, n=979)
Consensus PnL$395K$0$358K$437K
Tracked asPM monthly #15PM monthly #843PM monthly #8PM monthly #21
Sides with the consensus59% (105 of 177 open)no open consensus position68% (91 of 133 open)52% (35 of 67 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381———
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%—100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)—1% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 19)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)—32% (won 100% of 62)37% (won 100% of 110)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)—59% (won 100% of 115)50% (won 100% of 150)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)—8% (won 100% of 15)7% (won 100% of 22)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

28 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorphaveanedgeDOTxyzHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Thunder $1.2K—Thunder $8.7KClippers $2.3K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2.1K—Over $99Over $6.7K
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $1.1K—Kings $61Trail Blazers $281
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $967—Under $11KUnder $7
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.9K—Over $3.9KOver $29
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K—Under $2.1KUnder $1
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
——Kings $379Trail Blazers $27K
Spread: UCLA (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus UCLA
——Illinois $346UCLA $24K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $7.8K
Predators vs. Golden Knights
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
——Predators $2.1KGolden Knights $16K
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
——Trail Blazers $558Kings $5.5K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 211.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $121——Over $4.9K
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $1.8K—Thunder $2.0K—
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Thunder $1.6K——Clippers $1.3K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Kings $7—Trail Blazers $2.6K—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 213.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.4K——Over $848
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.8K——Over $58
Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $810Under $847
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.5K—Under $2—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.4K——Over $21
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Thunder $1.1K——Clippers $160
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $558Under $418
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $891—Over $7—
Spread: Houston (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
——Colorado $786Houston $23
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $203——Thunder $465
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $493——Over $81
Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Trail Blazers $306——Kings $88
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Predators
Golden Knights $68——Predators $309
Spread: Golden Knights (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Predators
Predators $138——Golden Knights $7
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $6——Under $32
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
Clippers $257——Clippers $16K
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Thunder $5.5KThunder $6.7K
Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
——Trail Blazers $100Trail Blazers $10K
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
Mertens/Zhang $1.1K——Mertens/Zhang $9.3K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 209.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $298——Under $7.1K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $296—Vikings $6.5K—
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $2.6KClippers $3.5K
Spread: Houston (-7.5)
same side · consensus Houston
——Colorado $840Colorado $3.2K
Spread: UCLA (-7.5)
same side · consensus UCLA
——UCLA $446UCLA $3.2K
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
same side · consensus Houston
——Colorado $2.8KColorado $700
Predators vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $211——Under $2.9K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $546—Seahawks $1.5K—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Trail Blazers $1.7K——Trail Blazers $23
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
Falcons $169—Falcons $1.2K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49—Colts $1.1K—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 207.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $536——Under $290
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $59Clippers $568
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $315Clippers $242
Predators vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $55——Under $421
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $14——Over $237